Expect a close game with the Atlanta Falcons winning 44.0% of simulations, and the Minnesota Vikings 56.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Atlanta Falcons commit fewer turnovers in 68.0% of simulations and they go on to win 54.0% when they take care of the ball. The Minnesota Vikings wins 79.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bijan Robinson is averaging 73.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (14.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Sam Darnold is averaging 288.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36.0% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Atlanta Falcons | ATS RECORD | Minnesota Vikings | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-9-0 | All Games | 9-4-2 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 30-40-00 | Home Games | 6-2-2 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-3-0 | When Favored | 6-4-2 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-7-0 | Non-Division Opp | 7-3-1 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-6-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-1 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Atlanta Falcons | ATS RECORD | Minnesota Vikings | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-12-0 | All Games | 8-8-1 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 20-70-00 | Home Games | 2-6-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-4-0 | When Favored | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 2-9-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-4-1 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 37-96-0 | Opp Under .500 | 66-42-6 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Falcons | O-U-P RECORD | Minnesota Vikings | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-8-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-8-1 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-3-1 | At Home | 2-5-1 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 6-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-6-0 | UNDER |
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