The Buffalo Bills are a heavy favorite winning 83.0% of simulations over the New England Patriots. Josh Allen is averaging 220.0 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and James Cook is projected for 81.0 rushing yards and a 54.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17.0% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Drake Maye averages 1.22 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.73 TDs to 1.31 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson averages 80.0 rushing yards and 0.46 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 50.0 yards and 0.15 TDs in losses. Buffalo Bills has a 89.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86.0% of the time.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-8-1 | All Games | 9-4-1 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 30-50-00 | Home Games | 4-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-7-1 | When Favored | 7-3-1 | No Edge |
| Division Opp | 1-3-0 | Division Opp | 2-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-2-1 | Opp Under .500 | 5-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-12-0 | All Games | 8-10-1 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 40-40-00 | Home Games | 5-6-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-8-0 | When Favored | 7-9-0 | No Edge |
| Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 49-108-0 | Opp Under .500 | 29-85-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | Buffalo Bills | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-4-0 | At Home | 6-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-6-0 | UNDER |
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