December 07, 2023 1:29 PM CST

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans 11/26/2023

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Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 59.0% of simulations, and the Houston Texans 41.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 27.0% of simulations and they go on to win 88.0% when they take care of the ball. The Houston Texans wins 53.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trevor Lawrence is averaging 305.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36.0% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Devin Singletary is averaging 95.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42.0% chance) then he helps his team win 62%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDHouston TexansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-4-0All Games 6-5-1No Edge
Road Games 50-00-00Home Games 3-3-0Jacksonville Jaguars
When Favored 6-2-0When Underdog 5-2-0No Edge
Division Opp 4-1-0Division Opp 1-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 6-1-0Opp .500+ Record 6-1-0Houston Texans

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDHouston TexansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-8-0All Games 8-8-1No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 3-5-1 No Edge
When Favored 2-3-0When Underdog 8-8-1No Edge
Division Opp 4-2-0Division Opp 4-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 47-52-0Opp .500+ Record 63-67-4No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Jacksonville JaguarsO-U-P RECORDHouston TexansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 4-8-0UNDER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 2-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-10-0All Totals Last Season 7-8-1UNDER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 3-4-0OVER

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