December 18, 2024 6:11 PM CST

Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10/06/2024

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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 42.0% of simulations, and the Pittsburgh Steelers 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 28.0% of simulations and they go on to win 72.0% when they take care of the ball. The Pittsburgh Steelers wins 71.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ezekiel Elliott is averaging 29.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24.0% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Najee Harris is averaging 79.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22.0% chance) then he helps his team win 82%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-8-1All Games 10-4-0No Edge
Road Games 40-20-10Home Games 5-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-7-0When Favored 5-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-7-0Non-Division Opp 7-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 2-5-0Opp Under .500 6-2-0Pittsburgh Steelers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-8-0All Games 10-7-1No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 5-4-1 No Edge
When Underdog 0-4-0When Favored 4-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 5-7-0Non-Division Opp 5-7-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 40-86-0Opp .500+ Record 86-59-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDPittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 9-5-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-6-1OVER
On Road 4-3-0At Home 2-3-1UNDER
All Totals Last Season 10-7-1All Totals Last Season 7-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-4-1At Home Last Season 4-5-0UNDER

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