Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 56.0% of simulations, and the New Orleans Saints 44.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 41.0% of simulations and they go on to win 77.0% when they take care of the ball. The New Orleans Saints wins 60.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trevor Lawrence is averaging 280.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (46.0% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Alvin Kamara is averaging 62.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26.0% chance) then he helps his team win 64%.
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | New Orleans Saints | | |
|---|
| All Games | 9-8-0 | All Games | 6-11-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-30-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-4-0 | When Favored | 4-9-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-5-0 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | New Orleans Saints | | |
|---|
| All Games | 11-8-0 | All Games | 6-10-1 | |
| Road Games | 50-50-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 9-5-0 | When Favored | 3-5-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-5-1 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 47-52-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 44-54-14 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | New Orleans Saints | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-9-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 4-4-0 | At Home | 3-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 6-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-5-0 | OVER |
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