NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars
++2.5
New Orleans Saints
-2.5

Accuscore Probability

-3
-2

Over/Under

41.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
41
under
42
over
Money Line
JAC  56.1%
Side Value
JAC  11.05%
56.1%
43.7%
Game Projection
  • Jacksonville Jaguars
    28.5 Points
  • New Orleans Saints
    26.5 Points
Big Win
  • JAC
    33.4%
  • NO
    22.4%
Close Win
  • JAC
    11.0%
  • NO
    10.7%

Game Prediction

NFL: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints
Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 56.0% of simulations, and the New Orleans Saints 44.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 41.0% of simulations and they go on to win 77.0% when they take care of the ball. The New Orleans Saints wins 60.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trevor Lawrence is averaging 280.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (46.0% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Alvin Kamara is averaging 62.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26.0% chance) then he helps his team win 64%.
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Jacksonville Jaguars

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Trevor Lawrence 23.3 281.0 2.4 0.4

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Travis Etienne Jr. 16.6 58.7 3.4 0.2
Trevor Lawrence 3.9 14.0 3.6 0.1
JaMycal Hasty 1.0 2.7 2.9

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Calvin Ridley 6.9 142.1 20.6 1.2
Christian Kirk 6.5 65.8 10.1 0.9
Evan Engram 4.9 37.3 7.6 0.1
Travis Etienne Jr. 2.4 16.1 6.7 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO

New Orleans Saints

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Derek Carr 19.8 208.7 2.1 0.5

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Alvin Kamara 12.2 62.3 5.0 0.4
Jamaal Williams 11.4 35.4 2.9 0.4
Derek Carr 1.0 4.7 4.0 0.0

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Chris Olave 4.9 66.7 13.6 0.7
Michael Thomas 4.3 44.7 10.4 0.6
Rashid Shaheed 2.8 42.1 15.0 0.4
Alvin Kamara 4.9 30.1 6.1 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO

Trends

Jacksonville Jaguars New Orleans Saints
All Games 9-8-0 All Games 6-11-0
Road Games 50-30-00 Home Games 3-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-4-0 When Favored 4-9-0
Non-Division Opp 5-6-0 Non-Division Opp 3-8-0
Opp Under .500 1-3-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-5-0 Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars New Orleans Saints
All Games 11-8-0 All Games 6-10-1
Road Games 50-50-00 Home Games 3-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 9-5-0 When Favored 3-5-0
Non-Division Opp 7-6-0 Non-Division Opp 5-5-1
Opp Under .500 47-52-0 Opp .500+ Record 44-54-14
Jacksonville Jaguars New Orleans Saints
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-9-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 6-11-0 UNDER
On Road 4-4-0 At Home 3-5-0 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-10-0 All Totals Last Season 6-11-0 UNDER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0 At Home Last Season 4-5-0 OVER
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