Expect a close game with the Denver Broncos winning 50.0% of simulations, and the New Orleans Saints 49.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Denver Broncos commit fewer turnovers in 30.0% of simulations and they go on to win 73.0% when they take care of the ball. The New Orleans Saints wins 59.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Javonte Williams is averaging 52.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (11.0% chance) then he helps his team win 83%. Alvin Kamara is averaging 100.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37.0% chance) then he helps his team win 81%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Denver Broncos | ATS RECORD | New Orleans Saints | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4-2-0 | All Games | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 30-00-00 | Home Games | 1-2-0 | Denver Broncos |
| When Underdog | 3-2-0 | When Favored | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-1-0 | Non-Division Opp | 1-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-3-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Denver Broncos | ATS RECORD | New Orleans Saints | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-10-1 | All Games | 6-11-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 20-50-10 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 3-5-0 | When Favored | 4-9-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-7-1 | Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 51-76-0 | Opp Under .500 | 57-83-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Denver Broncos | O-U-P RECORD | New Orleans Saints | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-2-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 1-2-0 | At Home | 2-1-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 6-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-5-0 | UNDER |
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