January 15, 2025 4:10 AM CST

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs 01/18/2025

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The Kansas City Chiefs are a heavy favorite winning 78.0% of simulations over the Houston Texans. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 252.0 passing yards and 1.1 TDs per simulation and Isaih Pacheco is projected for 47.0 rushing yards and a 35.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 22.0% of simulations where Houston Texans wins, C.J. Stroud averages 1.27 TD passes vs 0.36 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.74 TDs to 0.6 interceptions. Joe Mixon averages 87.0 rushing yards and 0.35 rushing TDs when Houston Texans wins and 50.0 yards and 0.09 TDs in losses. Kansas City Chiefs has a 65.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-8-2All Games 8-9-0No Edge
Road Games 40-40-10Home Games 3-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-3-1When Favored 7-7-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-4-1Non-Division Opp 7-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-2-1Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-8-1All Games 14-7-0No Edge
Road Games 50-40-00Home Games 7-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-4-0When Favored 10-7-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 6-6-1Non-Division Opp 10-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 85-78-0Opp .500+ Record 111-60-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston TexansO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-11-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-10-0UNDER
On Road 5-4-0At Home 4-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-11-0All Totals Last Season 6-15-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 1-10-0UNDER

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