Written by Shahan Ahmed
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Director’s Football Picks: 5-2, +361 Profit
Last weekend, our expert made only one pick and he got it right. As such, he is now 5-2 the past five weeks with an incredible +361 in profit, just reinforcing his mantra that if he double his money with a pick, it is not worth his money. This weekend, he’s back with another members only picks and a quick look at the fixture list. This week, he likes a match in the German Bundesliga, and he's made his pick.
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1. Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim: Frankfurt to win at 2.020
First of all, Frankfut is fourth in the table and in position for the Champions League next season and Hoffenheim is third from bottom and on pace for the relegation playoff. Frankfurt lost 3-1 away to Leverkusen, but this is a home match for Frankfurt.
Frankfurt only has one loss at home in nine matches while Hoffenheim has six losses in eight away matches. With odds providing better than even money, this is a no-brainer. Pick the better team at home and double your money. Yes, please!
What does the computer say?
Well, the computer says that Frankfurt has a 64.7 percent chance of winning. The oddsmakers currently only give Frankfurt a 48.5 percent chance, meaning the computer agrees with me that there is value on this match.
European Football Preview: Jan 26, 2013
This weekend features the FA Cup in England, so the Premier League takes a break for the magic of upset, etc. The FA Cup makes for wonderful stories, but it also includes some rather mismatched opponents. Stoke City hosting Manchester City and Manchester United hosting Fulham are the two matches on Saturday that feature Premier League sides battling it out. Both Manchester clubs should walk away unscathed based on their respective opponents’ poor form of late.
All in all, Europe does not provide anything that is worth starving one’s self over in the way of fixtures, but the German Bundesliga does probably feature the best two fixtures of the weekend with Stuttgart hosting German giants Bayern Munich on Sunday. Hamburg also hosts Werder Bremen on Sunday.
In Serie A, a struggling Juventus hosts Genoa after starting slow following the winter break. Juve has only won two of its five fixtures across all competitions. With Andrea Pirlo expected to miss the weekend’s clash, Juve may be exposed on Saturday.
In Spain, Athletic Bilbao hosts Atletico Madrid in what should be an athletically entertaining fixture.