Written By Shahan Ahmed
Follow him @perfectpass on Twitter
Okay, AccuScore’s soccer expert was a bit off his game these last couple weeks. However, he is still 52-32 on the season with a profit of 3,170 and since the initial investment was 500 units; he’s still up over 600%. Our expert picks on value. Even with a losing streak, he’s got 62% of his picks right on the season, and that value picking has him up over 600%.
This week, he’s got 3 Premier League picks that are due to be winners. With only 3 matches remaining in the season, he’s looking to end on a hot streak. Also, he's picking sides on the Manchester Derby...
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Wigan Athletic v Newcastle United: Newcastle United to win at 2.590
Value play: 52.5% according to AccuScore; 37.9% according to the bookies. Newcaslte is the better side and they’ve been playing marvelously well. AccuScore is projecting a 2-1 win for Newcastle, and at better than even odds, this is a good play. AccuScore is 13-10 when there is value on Newcastle winning this season, so this is a good trends play.
Liverpool v Norwich City: Split Bet - Norwich City to win at 4.070 AND draw at 3.670
Liverpool lost to West Brom last weekend. They’re not playing well, and going to Norwich City is not a walk in the park. The computer projects value on both the Norwich draw and the Norwich win. So split your bet and you’ll make better than even money with either outcome.
Manchester City v Manchester United: Manchester City to win at 2.150
Manchester City won the Manchester Derby played at Old Trafford earlier this season. With Manchester City recording 16 wins in 17 matches at the Etihad this season, yeah, this is a good value play. City have also been playing well recently, while United have been slipping—and no, I’m not referring to Ashley Young’s recent diving habit. Right. The computer is 14-7 when projecting value on City to win. The oddsmakers have City winning at 45.6% and AccuScore thinks it should be 55.2%. There is value here.
Premiership Weekend Preview: Round 36
This weekend, Manchester United travel to Manchester City in a massive Manchester derby. If City can claim the full 3 points, the Premier League will be level on points after 36 rounds. With City having the superior goal differential by a considerable margin, United would fall into second place.
Wolves are going down considering they have a 8 points below 19th place. Wigan, QPR, Bolton, Blackburn, and Aston Villa are all within 5 points of the other two spots. As Wigan, QPR, and Blackburn do battle to avoid relegation, they must earn points against Champions League contenders Newcastle, Chelsea, and Tottenham, respectively. Points will be hard to come by at the bottom. Meanwhile, West Borm host Aston Villa. Villa are winless in their last 7 and have shown little during the slide.
In the fight for the Champions League, Arsenal travel to Stoke City, a difficult place to get goals. With Arsenal stumbling to a 0-0 draw against Chelsea last weekend, goals won’t be any easier to come by this week. Arsenal are currently in the 3rd spot, but Newcastle United are only 3 points back in 4th place. Spurs are 3 points back of the Toon, while Chelsea are 1 point back of Spurs. At this point, both the relegation race and the Champions League place are up for grabs. It should be a special weekend in the Premiership. Click here for all Premiership AccuScore Computer Picks for Round 36.
