By Jonathan Lee
July 5, 2012

Lakers Steal Nash from the Suns

July 4th is supposed to be a holiday, but that didn’t stop the Lakers from sending a lightning bolt through the NBA.  Los Angeles pulled off a sign-and-trade for two-time MVP Steve Nash to pair with Kobe Bryant.  The deal was made exclusively with draft picks because of the trade exception L.A. had from trading Lamar Odom to Dallas last season.

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Even at the age of the age of 38, Steve Nash was one of the most widely pursued free agents being the top target of teams like the Knicks and Raptors.  Instead the Lakers acquired Nash as quite frankly the best guard Kobe Bryant has played with in his entire career.  Ramon Sessions opting out of deal might have been a blessing in disguise for the Lakers.

Baseline simulations projected the Lakers without Sessions as point guard because he was (and still is) a free agent.  In them they trailed projected top seed San Antonio by a full 10 games in the standings.  With Nash the Lakers improved by over seven games in simulations and jumped from 4th to 3rd in the West (OKC is 2nd).  L.A. is also the significant favorite to win the Pacific Division again over the Clippers improving from 39.9 to 66.2 percent.

Another factor of this deal is that no other players were sent to Phoenix leaving plenty of assets on the roster.  Either Andrew Bynum or Pau Gasol could still be traded, and represent significant trade chips for other teams.  That leaves the Dwight Howard question very much in play.  Even if either big man isn’t traded the Lakers still can improve by acquiring more help on the wing.  Getting more athleticism on the perimeter is still a top priority.  Still, this deal will help likely help extend the careers of both Nash and Bryant, and keep the championship window open in Los Angeles.

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Totals Pick

  Over 231.5

56.5%
Spread Pick

 CLE -5.5

52.0%
64.9%
64.9%
35.0%
35.0%
Side Value
 

Money Line
CLE  64.9%


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NBA

NBA2 Season Futures

Eastern SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
ATL
Boston Celtics 61 21 61.7 21.3 100% 100%
New York Knicks 51 31 51.3 31.7 0% 100%
Toronto Raptors 30 52 30.0 52.0 0% 0%
Brooklyn Nets 26 56 26.0 56.0 0% 0%
Philadelphia 76ers 24 58 24.0 58.0 0% 0%
CEN
Cleveland Cavaliers 64 18 64.6 18.4 100% 100%
Indiana Pacers 50 32 50.4 32.6 0% 100%
Milwaukee Bucks 48 34 48.0 34.0 0% 100%
Detroit Pistons 44 38 44.0 38.0 0% 100%
Chicago Bulls 39 43 39.0 43.0 0% 100%
SE
Orlando Magic 41 41 41.0 41.0 100% 100%
Atlanta Hawks 40 42 40.0 42.0 0% 100%
Miami Heat 37 45 37.0 45.0 0% 100%
Charlotte Hornets 19 63 19.0 63.0 0% 0%
Washington Wizards 18 64 18.0 64.0 0% 0%

Western SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
NW
Oklahoma City Thunder 68 14 68.7 14.3 100% 100%
Denver Nuggets 50 32 50.3 32.7 0% 100%
Minnesota Timberwolves 49 33 49.5 33.5 0% 100%
Portland Trail Blazers 36 46 36.0 46.0 0% 0%
Utah Jazz 17 65 17.0 65.0 0% 0%
PAC
Los Angeles Clippers 50 32 50.0 32.0 0% 100%
Los Angeles Lakers 50 32 50.0 32.0 0% 100%
Golden State Warriors 48 34 48.5 34.5 100% 100%
Sacramento Kings 40 42 40.0 42.0 0% 100%
Phoenix Suns 36 46 36.0 46.0 0% 0%
SW
Houston Rockets 52 30 52.0 30.0 100% 100%
Memphis Grizzlies 48 34 48.0 34.0 0% 100%
Dallas Mavericks 39 43 39.0 43.0 0% 100%
San Antonio Spurs 34 48 34.0 48.0 0% 0%
New Orleans Pelicans 21 61 21.0 61.0 0% 0%

Eastern, ATL

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, ATL

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Eastern, CEN

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, CEN

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Eastern, SE

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, SE

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, NW

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, NW

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, PAC

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, PAC

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, SW

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, SW

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF