By Jonathan Lee
July 6, 2012

Suns Sign Dragic/Beasley, Raptors Acquire Kyle Lowry

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Phoenix Signs Michael Beasley and Goran Dragic

Phoenix has been left to retool in the aftermath of the surprising trade of Steve Nash to the Lakers.  The Suns have started the process by signing the talented but enigmatic forward Michael Beasley, and reacquiring point guard Goran Dragic.  Both moves do improve the outlook in the desert, but without Nash the team is no longer a real playoff contender.

Adding just Michael Beasley would not have been a good move for the Suns to start rebuilding.  He is not an efficient offensive player, and has yet to truly find a position and productive role in the league.  Dragic showed that he can be a productive starting guard with Houston, and will likely play ahead of recent draft pick Kendall Marshall at the point.  His arrival makes the real difference for the Suns boosting the projected win total, overall winning percentage, and long shot playoff odds.

In a testament to the oddity of the organization and this entire NBA off-season, Phoenix had previously traded away Dragic AND a first-round pick for Aaron Brooks who lasted just half a season with the team.  Dragic has handed a four-year deal worth $34 million.

Toronto Acquires Kyle Lowry from Houston for Draft Picks

Point guard Kyle Lowry was having a true breakout season for the Rockets before an injury cut short his season.  It was the second consecutive solid season as a starter, and now he is headed north of the border to Toronto.  The Raptors had gone full out to sign Steve Nash, but lost out to the Lakers.

The Raptors are still a franchise foundering without a sense of direction or real hope on the horizon.  Lowry does give them a solid point guard, but they already have one in Jose Calderon.  AccuScore simulations show that Lowry does represent a solid improvement (+1.5 wins) over the incumbent, but both seem likely to stay on the roster.  It is unclear how playing time and roles would be divvied up between the two.

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NBA PREDICTIONS

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NBA
Totals Pick

  Under 225.5

59.3%
Spread Pick

 LAC +2.5

60.0%
53.3%
53.3%
46.6%
46.6%
Side Value
LAC  8.46%

Money Line
LAC  53.3%

NBA

NBA2 Season Futures

Eastern SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
ATL
New York Knicks 0 0 48.6 23.4 86% 99.8%
Philadelphia 76ers 0 0 33.8 38.2 2.9% 57.2%
Toronto Raptors 0 0 32.9 39.1 6.3% 72%
Boston Celtics 0 0 31.9 39.1 4.7% 67.8%
Brooklyn Nets 0 0 16.3 55.7 0% 9.9%
CEN
Cleveland Cavaliers 0 0 49.7 22.3 71.7% 99.9%
Detroit Pistons 0 0 39.3 32.7 14.2% 90.3%
Milwaukee Bucks 0 0 37.2 34.8 8.1% 80.7%
Chicago Bulls 0 0 34.7 38.3 3% 66.2%
Indiana Pacers 0 0 31.6 40.4 2.9% 65%
SE
Orlando Magic 0 0 45.6 26.4 50.9% 98.6%
Atlanta Hawks 0 0 42.9 29.1 40.6% 97.4%
Miami Heat 0 0 35.2 36.8 8.4% 77.2%
Charlotte Hornets 0 0 21.2 50.8 0.1% 15.3%
Washington Wizards 0 0 15.6 56.4 0% 4.5%

Western SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
NW
Oklahoma City Thunder 0 0 54.1 16.9 57% 99.5%
Denver Nuggets 0 0 45.3 27.7 23.5% 94.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 0 0 43.9 28.1 18.8% 92.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 0 0 32.8 39.2 0.7% 43.6%
Utah Jazz 0 0 14.2 57.8 0% 0.6%
PAC
Los Angeles Lakers 0 0 44.1 26.9 42% 93.2%
Los Angeles Clippers 0 0 42.6 30.4 24.7% 83%
Golden State Warriors 0 0 42.3 28.7 30.5% 89.1%
Sacramento Kings 0 0 29.1 42.9 2.1% 36.4%
Phoenix Suns 0 0 26.7 45.3 0.6% 21.3%
SW
Houston Rockets 0 0 46.6 26.4 61.9% 96.3%
Dallas Mavericks 0 0 37.6 34.4 14% 72.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 0 0 37.0 34.0 11.6% 69.3%
San Antonio Spurs 0 0 36.4 36.6 5.1% 53.1%
New Orleans Pelicans 0 0 30.6 41.4 7.5% 57.2%

Eastern, ATL

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, ATL

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Eastern, CEN

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, CEN

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Eastern, SE

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, SE

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, NW

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, NW

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, PAC

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, PAC

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, SW

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, SW

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF