Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NBA Finals: Game 4 Prop Bet

The Golden State Warriors are one win away from a historic 16-0 postseason as they head into Game 4 of the NBA Finals Friday night. The fans were finally treated to a close, competitive contest in Game 3, but the Warriors pulled out a 118-113 victory as the Cavaliers failed to score a basket in the final few minutes of action.

The Warriors winning this series is practically a done deal, and the majority of the media, and betting public feel Game 4 will be the final game of the NBA season.

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AccuScore's NBA Finals picks:

The Warriors are favored by 6 points, with the total set at 229.

Where's the value in this game?

All of AccuScore's Game 4 Picks: Click Here

AccuScore sim data has a bit more faith in the Cavs extending the series and escaping the embarrassment of being swept than do Vegas odds makers. Cleveland's getting +140 on the money line, indicating about a 41-to-42 percent chance of winning.

Sim data, however, has that percentage up to about 46 percent, suggesting some value on a money line or spread pick on Cleveland.

Prop Bet

There's plenty of prop bets for Game 4, and one that caught our eye is the total points scored by Cavaliers forward Kevin Love.

The over/under for Friday's game is set at 16.5 points.

Through three games in the Finals, Love is averaging 17 points per game.

In Game 1, he scored 15; 27 in Game 2, and 9 in Game 3. Given the way he's trending, the pick is the UNDER on this prop bet.

After 10,000-plus simulations, Love is projected to finish Game 4 with 16 points on 5-of-11 shooting from the field.

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NBA PREDICTIONS

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NBA
Totals Pick

  Over 201

58.6%
Spread Pick

 GS +10.5

64.3%
33.8%
33.8%
66.1%
66.1%
Side Value
GS  13.8%

Money Line
MIN  66.1%


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NBA

NBA2 Season Futures

Eastern SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
ATL
Boston Celtics 61 21 61.7 21.3 100% 100%
New York Knicks 51 31 51.3 31.7 0% 100%
Toronto Raptors 30 52 30.0 52.0 0% 0%
Brooklyn Nets 26 56 26.0 56.0 0% 0%
Philadelphia 76ers 24 58 24.0 58.0 0% 0%
CEN
Cleveland Cavaliers 64 18 64.6 18.4 100% 100%
Indiana Pacers 50 32 50.4 32.6 0% 100%
Milwaukee Bucks 48 34 48.0 34.0 0% 100%
Detroit Pistons 44 38 44.0 38.0 0% 100%
Chicago Bulls 39 43 39.0 43.0 0% 100%
SE
Orlando Magic 41 41 41.0 41.0 100% 100%
Atlanta Hawks 40 42 40.0 42.0 0% 100%
Miami Heat 37 45 37.0 45.0 0% 100%
Charlotte Hornets 19 63 19.0 63.0 0% 0%
Washington Wizards 18 64 18.0 64.0 0% 0%

Western SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
NW
Oklahoma City Thunder 68 14 68.7 14.3 100% 100%
Denver Nuggets 50 32 50.3 32.7 0% 100%
Minnesota Timberwolves 49 33 49.7 33.3 0% 100%
Portland Trail Blazers 36 46 36.0 46.0 0% 0%
Utah Jazz 17 65 17.0 65.0 0% 0%
PAC
Los Angeles Clippers 50 32 50.0 32.0 0% 100%
Los Angeles Lakers 50 32 50.0 32.0 0% 100%
Golden State Warriors 48 34 48.3 34.7 100% 100%
Sacramento Kings 40 42 40.0 42.0 0% 100%
Phoenix Suns 36 46 36.0 46.0 0% 0%
SW
Houston Rockets 52 30 52.0 30.0 100% 100%
Memphis Grizzlies 48 34 48.0 34.0 0% 100%
Dallas Mavericks 39 43 39.0 43.0 0% 100%
San Antonio Spurs 34 48 34.0 48.0 0% 0%
New Orleans Pelicans 21 61 21.0 61.0 0% 0%

Eastern, ATL

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, ATL

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Eastern, CEN

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, CEN

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Eastern, SE

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Eastern, SE

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, NW

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, NW

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, PAC

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, PAC

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

Western, SW

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

Western, SW

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF