Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NBA Finals: Game 4 Prop Bet
The Golden State Warriors are one win away from a historic 16-0 postseason as they head into Game 4 of the NBA Finals Friday night. The fans were finally treated to a close, competitive contest in Game 3, but the Warriors pulled out a 118-113 victory as the Cavaliers failed to score a basket in the final few minutes of action.
The Warriors winning this series is practically a done deal, and the majority of the media, and betting public feel Game 4 will be the final game of the NBA season.
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AccuScore's NBA Finals picks:
The Warriors are favored by 6 points, with the total set at 229.
Where's the value in this game?
All of AccuScore's Game 4 Picks: Click Here
AccuScore sim data has a bit more faith in the Cavs extending the series and escaping the embarrassment of being swept than do Vegas odds makers. Cleveland's getting +140 on the money line, indicating about a 41-to-42 percent chance of winning.
Sim data, however, has that percentage up to about 46 percent, suggesting some value on a money line or spread pick on Cleveland.
Prop Bet
There's plenty of prop bets for Game 4, and one that caught our eye is the total points scored by Cavaliers forward Kevin Love.
The over/under for Friday's game is set at 16.5 points.
Through three games in the Finals, Love is averaging 17 points per game.
In Game 1, he scored 15; 27 in Game 2, and 9 in Game 3. Given the way he's trending, the pick is the UNDER on this prop bet.
After 10,000-plus simulations, Love is projected to finish Game 4 with 16 points on 5-of-11 shooting from the field.
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