NCAAF: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers
LSU is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Arkansas. Jayden Daniels is averaging 268 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Noah Cain is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Arkansas wins, KJ Jefferson averages 2.05 TD passes vs 0.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.01 TDs to 0.45 interceptions. Jezreel Bachert averages 74 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Arkansas wins and 66 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. LSU has a 30% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LSU -18 --- Over/Under line is 55.5
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