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Game Details

NCAAF
Florida Atlantic Owls
++16.5
Illinois Fighting Illini
-16.5

Accuscore Probability

-17
-16

Over/Under

45.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
45
under
46
over
Money Line
ILL  81.4%
Side Value
FLAT  2.53%
18.5%
81.4%
Game Projection
  • Florida Atlantic Owls
    18.8 Points
  • Illinois Fighting Illini
    31.8 Points
Big Win
  • FLATL
    6.5%
  • ILL
    59.2%
Close Win
  • FLATL
    6.9%
  • ILL
    10.2%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over Florida Atlantic. Donovan Leary is averaging 200 passing yards and 1.5 TDs per simulation and Josh McCray is projected for 109 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Florida Atlantic wins, Casey Thompson averages 1.14 TD passes vs 1.14 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.54 TDs to 1.54 interceptions. Larry McCammon averages 74 rushing yards and 0.77 rushing TDs when Florida Atlantic wins and 64 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Illinois has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL -14.5 --- Over/Under line is 48
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Florida Atlantic Owls

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Casey Thompson 13.0 141.8 0.6 1.5

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Larry McCammon 15.4 66.0 4.3 0.4
Kobe Lewis 5.1 27.6 5.4 0.2
BJ Alexander 5.4 24.8 4.6 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Lajohntay Wester 3.3 37.5 11.4 0.2
Carter Boatwright 2.0 23.0 11.5 0.1
Je'Quan Burton 2.0 21.3 10.7 0.1
BJ Alexander 2.0 20.4 10.2 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
FLATL 0.5 0.7 0.0 0.7

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Illinois Fighting Illini

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Donovan Leary 17.8 200.0 1.5 0.7

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Josh McCray 26.5 108.8 4.1 1.3
Reggie Love III 8.0 39.5 5.0 0.4
Donovan Leary 3.9 15.8 4.0 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Isaiah Williams 4.2 51.8 12.3 0.3
Casey Washington 3.0 32.1 10.7 0.2
Pat Bryant 2.9 31.5 10.9 0.3
Tip Reiman 3.0 31.4 10.5 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
ILL 0.8 1.5 0.0 1.5

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Florida Atlantic
  • Illinois
  • Florida Atlantic
  • Illinois
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Florida Atlantic ATS RECORD Illinois ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0 All Games 0-3-0 No Edge
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 0-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0 When Favored 0-1-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0 Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0 No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-2-0 Opp Under .500 0-0-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Florida Atlantic ATS RECORD Illinois ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 3/7/2000 All Games 6/5/2001 Illinois
Road & Neutral Field 1/5/2000 Home Games 2/5/2001 Illinois
When Underdog 1/1/2000 When Favored 2/5/2000 Florida Atlantic
Non-Conference Opp 1/5/2000 Non-Conference Opp 2/2/2000 Illinois
Opp .500+ Record 1/1/2000 Opp Under .500 3/1/2000 Illinois
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Florida Atlantic O-U-P RECORD Illinois O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 1/2/2000 UNDER
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 1/1/2000 OVER
All Totals Last Season 6/4/2000 All Totals Last Season 4/8/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 5/1/2000 At Home Last Season 3/4/2000 OVER
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