NCAAF: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Texas Tech winning 54% of simulations, and West Virginia 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas Tech commits fewer turnovers in 26% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. West Virginia wins 58% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tahj Brooks is averaging 86 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. CJ Donaldson Jr. is averaging 115 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WVA +6 --- Over/Under line is 55
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