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Game Details

NCAAF
Southern Methodist Mustangs
++7
TCU Horned Frogs
-7

Accuscore Probability

-7.5
-6.5

Over/Under

63.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
63
under
64
over
Money Line
TCU  71.3%
Side Value
 
28.4%
71.3%
Game Projection
  • Southern Methodist Mustangs
    23.9 Points
  • TCU Horned Frogs
    34.2 Points
Big Win
  • SMETH
    12.2%
  • TCU
    51.4%
Close Win
  • SMETH
    8.6%
  • TCU
    8.9%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Southern Methodist Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs
TCU is a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat Southern Methodist. Emani Bailey is projected for 201 rushing yards and a 65% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 29% of simulations where Southern Methodist wins, Preston Stone averages 2.27 TD passes vs 0.51 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.16 TDs to 0.7 interceptions. Preston Stone averages 57 rushing yards and 0.57 rushing TDs when Southern Methodist wins and 51 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. TCU has a 26% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TCU -6.5 --- Over/Under line is 63
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Southern Methodist Mustangs

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Preston Stone 19.7 219.3 1.5 0.6

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Preston Stone 12.4 52.9 4.3 0.4
Tyler Lavine 10.5 46.5 4.5 0.5
Camar Wheaton 1.2 5.6 4.6 0.0

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Hudson Shrum 4.0 49.5 12.4 0.4
Jordan Kerley 4.0 43.3 10.8 0.3
Jake Bailey 4.0 42.7 10.7 0.3
RJ Maryland 4.0 40.2 10.1 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
SMETH 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.8

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

TCU Horned Frogs

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Chandler Morris 16.5 193.6 1.5 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Emani Bailey 30.4 201.0 6.6 1.1
Chandler Morris 4.6 22.3 4.9 0.2
Trent Battle 2.0 11.1 5.5 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
JP Richardson 4.6 51.8 11.3 0.4
JoJo Earle 3.0 37.4 12.5 0.3
Jared Wiley 3.1 35.4 11.4 0.3
Savion Williams 3.0 34.7 11.6 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
TCU 0.6 0.7 0.0 0.7

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Southern Methodist
  • TCU
  • Southern Methodist
  • TCU
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Southern Methodist ATS RECORD TCU ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 1/1/2000 All Games 1/1/2000 No Edge
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0 When Favored 1/1/2000 TCU
Non-Conference Opp 1/1/2000 Non-Conference Opp 0-1-0 Southern Methodist
Opp .500+ Record 0-1-0 Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0 TCU
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Southern Methodist ATS RECORD TCU ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 6/6/2000 All Games 10/4/2000 TCU
Road & Neutral Field 4/3/2000 Home Games 4/2/2000 TCU
When Underdog 2/4/2000 When Favored 7/3/2000 TCU
Non-Conference Opp 3/3/2000 Non-Conference Opp 3/1/2000 TCU
Opp .500+ Record 2/6/2000 Opp .500+ Record 5/3/2000 TCU
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Southern Methodist O-U-P RECORD TCU O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-2-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 UNDER
On Road 0-1-0 At Home 1-0-0 No Edge
All Totals Last Season 5/6/2000 All Totals Last Season 10/4/2000 OVER
On Road Last Season 2/4/2000 At Home Last Season 4/2/2000 No Edge
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