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Game Details

NCAAF
Boise State Broncos
-1.5
San Diego State Aztecs
+1.5

Accuscore Probability

1
2

Over/Under

46.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
46
under
47
over
Money Line
BST  56.2%
Side Value
 
56.2%
43.7%
Game Projection
  • Boise State Broncos
    25.7 Points
  • San Diego State Aztecs
    23.0 Points
Big Win
  • BST
    32.1%
  • SDST
    21.8%
Close Win
  • BST
    12.1%
  • SDST
    10.8%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boise State winning 56% of simulations, and San Diego State 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boise State commits fewer turnovers in 21% of simulations and they go on to win 73% when they take care of the ball. San Diego State wins 55% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. George Holani is averaging 91 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Cam Davis is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SDST +6.5 --- Over/Under line is 45.5
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Boise State Broncos

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Taylen Green 15.2 181.9 1.5 1.2

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
George Holani 20.8 90.7 4.4 0.6
Ashton Jeanty 4.0 18.4 4.6 0.1
Taylen Green 3.1 10.2 3.3 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Stefan Cobbs 3.0 37.5 12.5 0.3
Latrell Caples 3.0 36.7 12.2 0.3
Riley Smith 3.0 35.4 11.8 0.3
Billy Bowens 3.0 34.7 11.6 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
BST 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.8

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

San Diego State Aztecs

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Jalen Mayden 11.9 153.4 1.0 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Cam Davis 13.6 54.1 4.0 0.5
Kenan Christon 13.6 53.0 3.9 0.4
Jalen Mayden 6.0 19.1 3.2 0.2

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Mekhi Shaw 3.6 47.3 13.1 0.3
Mark Redman 2.4 31.5 13.1 0.2
Phillippe Wesley 2.1 27.6 13.1 0.2
Brionne Penny 1.0 13.6 13.6 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
SDST 0.8 1.2 0.0 1.2

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Boise State
  • San Diego State
  • Boise State
  • San Diego State
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Boise State ATS RECORD San Diego State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 1/1/2000 All Games 2/1/2000 San Diego State
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 1/1/2000 San Diego State
When Favored 0-0-0 When Underdog 1/1/2000 No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0 Conference Opp 0-0-0 No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0 Opp Under .500 0-0-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Boise State ATS RECORD San Diego State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 8/5/2000 All Games 5/6/2000 Boise State
Road & Neutral Field 3/3/2000 Home Games 2/4/2000 Boise State
When Favored 6/3/2000 When Underdog 3/2/2000 Boise State
Conference Opp 7/2/2000 Conference Opp 4/3/2000 Boise State
Opp .500+ Record 3/2/2000 Opp .500+ Record 2-0-0 San Diego State
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Boise State O-U-P RECORD San Diego State O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 0-3-0 UNDER
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 0-2-0 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 5/7/2000 All Totals Last Season 6/5/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 0-6-0 At Home Last Season 3/3/2000 UNDER
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