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Game Details

MLS

Over/Under

3.25

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
NYCI  49.4%
Side Value
NYCI  7.2%
25.3%
49.4%
25.3%
Game Projection
  • New York RB
    1.21
  • New York City
    1.79
Big Win
  • New York RB
    N/A
  • New York City
    N/A
Close Win
  • New York RB
    N/A
  • New York City
    N/A

Game Prediction

MLS: New York RB @ New York City 11/23/2024
There is a 25.1% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw New York City, at 50.2%, are heavy favorites to beat New York RB who have a 24.7% chance. In simulation wins, New York RB upsets New York City by averaging 9.0 shots and 4.6 shots on goal. They average 2.4 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.7 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is New York City 1.8 to New York RB 1.2. The leading goal scorer for New York RB is Lewis Morgan with a 33% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal New York RB has a 42% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for New York City is Adrián Alonso Martínez Batista with a 48% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal New York City has a 68% chance to win.

New York RB

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Lewis Morgan 2.13 1.15 0.38 32.26%
Emil Peter Forsberg 1.82 0.92 0.35 29.82%
Cameron Harper 0.75 0.42 0.19 17.04%
Dante Vanzeir 0.99 0.31 0.08 7.92%
John Tolkin 0.43 0.23 0.07 6.62%
Andrés Reyes 0.33 0.1 0.05 4.86%
Rest of Team 1.4 0.35 0.35 --
Team Total 7.86 3.48 1.21 --

PLAYERS

New York City

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Adrián Alonso Martínez Batista 1.46 0.98 0.63 47.5%
Santiago Rodriguez 1.85 0.97 0.47 37.56%
Hannes Tarn Wolf 0.99 0.6 0.28 24.16%
Keaton Alexander Parks 0.7 0.34 0.13 11.82%
Maximiliano Nicol Moralez 0.76 0.36 0.12 11.4%
Kevin O'Toole 0.25 0.12 0.05 5.3%
Rest of Team 1 0.36 0.36 --
Team Total 7.02 3.72 1.79 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • New York RB
  • New York City
  • New York RB
  • New York City
New York RB Trends New York City Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 12-9-15 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 15-13-9
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 5-6-7 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 11-4-3
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 2 of 36 games 5.6% Win by 2 or More 1 of 37 games 2.7%
Lose by 2 or More 4 of 36 games 11.1% Lose by 2 or More 6 of 37 games 16.2%
When Underdog W-L-D: 5-5-5 When Underdog W-L-D: 3-7-6
Road Underdog W-L-D: 5-5-5 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-0-0
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 12-14-11 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 9-11-14
Road Last Season W-L-D: 4-9-5 Home Last Season W-L-D: 8-3-6
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 4 of 37 games 10.8% Win by 2 or More (LS) 4 of 34 games 11.8%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 6 of 37 games 16.2% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 6 of 34 games 17.6%
Over-Under O-U: 26-13 Over-Under O-U: 27-19
Road Over-Under O-U: 14-6 Home Over-Under O-U: 12-13
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 36 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 37 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 23 of 36 games 63.9% Total: 3 or More Goals 18 of 37 games 48.6%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 13 of 36 games 36.1% Total: 2 or Less Goals 19 of 37 games 51.4%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 37 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 34 games 0.0%
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