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Game Details

NFL
Point Spread
Los Angeles Chargers
-2.5
Houston Texans
+2.5

Accuscore Probability

-50
50
2
3
Totals

Over/Under

42.5

Accuscore Probability

7
98
42
under
43
over
Money Line
LAC  64.7%
Side Value
LAC  4.07%
64.7%
35.2%
Game Projection
  • Los Angeles Chargers
    24.9 Points
  • Houston Texans
    20.1 Points
Big Win
  • LAC
    38.3%
  • HOU
    16.3%
Close Win
  • LAC
    14.2%
  • HOU
    10.3%

Game Prediction

NFL: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans
The Los Angeles Chargers are a solid favorite with a 64.0% chance to beat the Houston Texans. JK Dobbins is projected for 60.0 rushing yards and a 28.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36.0% of simulations where Houston Texans wins, C.J. Stroud averages 1.26 TD passes vs 0.25 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.69 TDs to 0.43 interceptions. Joe Mixon averages 134.0 rushing yards and 0.71 rushing TDs when Houston Texans wins and 64.0 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. The Los Angeles Chargers has a 62.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81.0% of the time.
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Los Angeles Chargers

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Justin Herbert 21.8 285.7 1.8 0.6

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
JK Dobbins 15.2 55.0 3.6 0.3
Gus Edwards 6.7 21.1 3.1 0.1
Justin Herbert 3.9 20.8 4.9 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Ladd McConkey 6.5 109.1 16.8 0.8
Quentin Johnston 3.1 46.4 15.0 0.4
Josh Palmer 3.0 39.1 13.0 0.1
Will Dissly 2.3 24.6 10.7 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO

Houston Texans

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
C.J. Stroud 22.0 243.9 1.1 0.3

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Joe Mixon 15.7 66.6 4.1 0.3
C.J. Stroud 3.1 15.5 6.0 0.1
Dameon Pierce 1.9 12.0 6.1 0.2

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Nico Collins 8.3 105.3 12.7 0.5
Dalton Schultz 5.5 60.1 10.9 0.3
Joe Mixon 4.5 36.1 8.0 0.2
Diontae Johnson 1.0 13.7 13.7 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO

Trends

  • Los Angeles Chargers
  • Houston Texans
  • Los Angeles Chargers
  • Houston Texans
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Los Angeles Chargers ATS RECORD Houston Texans ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 12-5-0 All Games 7-8-2 No Edge
Road Games 70-20-00 Home Games 3-4-1 No Edge
When Favored 10-1-0 When Underdog 3-3-1 No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-4-0 Non-Division Opp 6-4-1 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-4-0 Opp .500+ Record 3-2-1 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Los Angeles Chargers ATS RECORD Houston Texans ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 6-11-0 All Games 10-8-1 No Edge
Road Games 30-50-00 Home Games 5-4-0 No Edge
When Favored 4-5-0 When Underdog 7-4-0 No Edge
Non-Division Opp 5-6-0 Non-Division Opp 6-6-1 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 30-101-0 Opp Under .500 55-34-14 No Edge
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Los Angeles Chargers O-U-P RECORD Houston Texans O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-9-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 6-11-0 UNDER
On Road 3-6-0 At Home 1-7-0 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 5-12-0 All Totals Last Season 8-11-0 UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-6-0 At Home Last Season 4-6-0 UNDER
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