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Game Details

Bundesliga
Totals

Over/Under

3.25

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
MGLA  39.2%
Side Value
MGLA  7.1%
39.2%
36.4%
24.4%
Game Projection
  • Borussia M'gladbach
    1.79
  • Mainz 05
    1.73
Big Win
  • Borussia M'gladbach
    N/A
  • Mainz 05
    N/A
Close Win
  • Borussia M'gladbach
    N/A
  • Mainz 05
    N/A

Game Prediction

BUNDESLIGA: Borussia M'gladbach @ Mainz 05 10/25/2024
This is a very close match-up. In 10,000 simulations Borussia M'gladbach won 39.2%, Mainz 05 won 36.4% and there was a 24.4% chance of a draw. Overall, the average simulation score is Borussia M'gladbach 1.8 to Mainz 05 1.7. In simulation wins, Borussia M'gladbach averages 10.5 shots and 5.1 shots on goal. They average 2.8 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.9 in simulation losses. When Mainz 05 wins they average 10.7 shots and 5.2 shots on goal. They average 2.8 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.9 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Borussia M'gladbach is Tim Kleindienst with a 46% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Borussia M'gladbach has a 55% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Mainz 05 is Jonathan Burkardt with a 47% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Mainz 05 has a 54% chance to win.

Borussia M'gladbach

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Tim Kleindienst 2.7 1.38 0.62 45.78%
Robin Hack 1.35 0.73 0.28 24.48%
Alassane Plea 1.25 0.57 0.27 23.72%
Rocco Reitz 0.78 0.45 0.23 20.94%
Ko Itakura 0.96 0.36 0.19 17.12%
Franck Honorat 0.82 0.33 0.12 10.98%
Rest of Team 1.73 0.27 0.27 --
Team Total 9.58 4.09 1.79 --

PLAYERS

Mainz 05

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Jonathan Burkardt 2.28 1.2 0.62 46.56%
Nadiem Amiri 1.24 0.95 0.38 31.76%
Jae-Sung Lee 1.42 0.52 0.33 28.08%
Philipp Mwene 0.68 0.44 0.12 11.5%
Anthony Caci 1.01 0.45 0.12 11.1%
Armindo Sieb 1.45 0.37 0.1 9.46%
Rest of Team 1.54 0.23 0.23 --
Team Total 9.63 4.15 1.73 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Borussia M'gladbach
  • Mainz 05
  • Borussia M'gladbach
  • Mainz 05
Borussia M'gladbach Trends Mainz 05 Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 3-4-0 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 2-3-2
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 1-2-0 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-3-1
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 1 of 7 games 14.3% Win by 2 or More 1 of 7 games 14.3%
Lose by 2 or More 2 of 7 games 28.6% Lose by 2 or More 2 of 7 games 28.6%
When Underdog W-L-D: 0-4-0 When Underdog W-L-D: 2-1-1
Road Underdog W-L-D: 0-2-0 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-1-0
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 7-14-13 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 7-13-14
Road Last Season W-L-D: 2-8-7 Home Last Season W-L-D: 6-6-5
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 5 of 34 games 14.7% Win by 2 or More (LS) 6 of 34 games 17.6%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 34 games 23.5% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 7 of 34 games 20.6%
Over-Under O-U: 5-3 Over-Under O-U: 4-3
Road Over-Under O-U: 3-1 Home Over-Under O-U: 3-0
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 7 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 7 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 4 of 7 games 57.1% Total: 3 or More Goals 4 of 7 games 57.1%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 3 of 7 games 42.9% Total: 2 or Less Goals 3 of 7 games 42.9%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 34 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 34 games 0.0%
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