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Game Details

EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.0

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
NEWC  53.9%
Side Value
NEWC  3%
23.6%
53.9%
22.5%
Game Projection
  • Nottingham Forest
    1.49
  • Newcastle United
    2.27
Big Win
  • Nottingham Forest
    N/A
  • Newcastle United
    N/A
Close Win
  • Nottingham Forest
    N/A
  • Newcastle United
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Nottingham Forest @ Newcastle United 02/23/2025
There is a 22.5% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Newcastle United, at 53.9%, are heavy favorites to beat Nottingham Forest who have a 23.6% chance. In simulation wins, Nottingham Forest upsets Newcastle United by averaging 9.3 shots and 5.0 shots on goal. They average 2.7 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.9 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Newcastle United 2.3 to Nottingham Forest 1.5. The leading goal scorer for Nottingham Forest is Chris Wood with a 46% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Nottingham Forest has a 38% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Newcastle United is Alexander Isak with a 64% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Newcastle United has a 67% chance to win.

Nottingham Forest

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Chris Wood 1.5 0.98 0.61 46.16%
Morgan Gibbs-White 1.29 0.61 0.2 18.3%
James Ward-Prowse 0.83 0.51 0.17 15.86%
Anthony Elanga 1.15 0.6 0.15 14.34%
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 0.49 0.21 0.07 6.28%
Neco Williams 0.53 0.22 0.06 5.9%
Rest of Team 2.3 0.67 0.67 --
Team Total 8.08 3.81 1.49 --

PLAYERS

Newcastle United

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Alexander Isak 2.82 1.92 1.03 64.48%
Anthony Gordon 2.08 1.16 0.42 34.06%
Jacob Murphy 1.31 0.63 0.24 21.28%
Bruno Guimarães 1.2 0.5 0.16 14.8%
Fabian Lukas Schär 0.93 0.37 0.14 13.3%
Sandro Tonali 0.76 0.42 0.11 10.42%
Rest of Team 1.65 0.6 0.6 --
Team Total 10.74 5.62 2.27 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Nottingham Forest
  • Newcastle United
  • Nottingham Forest
  • Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest Trends Newcastle United Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 14-6-5 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 12-8-5
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 7-4-2 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 6-4-2
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 4 of 25 games 16.0% Win by 2 or More 4 of 25 games 16.0%
Lose by 2 or More 4 of 25 games 16.0% Lose by 2 or More 5 of 25 games 20.0%
When Underdog W-L-D: 6-4-3 When Underdog W-L-D: 2-2-2
Road Underdog W-L-D: 5-4-2 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-0-2
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 9-20-9 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 18-14-6
Road Last Season W-L-D: 4-11-4 Home Last Season W-L-D: 12-3-4
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 5 of 38 games 13.2% Win by 2 or More (LS) 12 of 38 games 31.6%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 38 games 21.1% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 38 games 21.1%
Over-Under O-U: 19-12 Over-Under O-U: 20-12
Road Over-Under O-U: 9-7 Home Over-Under O-U: 10-6
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 25 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 25 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 13 of 25 games 52.0% Total: 3 or More Goals 16 of 25 games 64.0%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 12 of 25 games 48.0% Total: 2 or Less Goals 9 of 25 games 36.0%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0%
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