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Game Details

EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.0

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
MANC  85.2%
Side Value
MANC  12.2%
4.1%
85.2%
10.7%
Game Projection
  • Everton
    0.68
  • Manchester City
    3.26
Big Win
  • Everton
    N/A
  • Manchester City
    N/A
Close Win
  • Everton
    N/A
  • Manchester City
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Everton @ Manchester City 12/26/2024
There is a 10.7% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester City, at 85.2%, are heavy favorites to beat Everton who have a 4.1% chance. In simulation wins, Everton upsets Manchester City by averaging 6.6 shots and 3.4 shots on goal. They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester City 3.3 to Everton 0.7. The leading goal scorer for Everton is Dominic Calvert-Lewin with a 19% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Everton has a 12% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Manchester City is Erling Håland with a 75% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Manchester City has a 92% chance to win.

Everton

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 1.46 0.71 0.21 18.5%
Abdoulaye Doucouré 0.52 0.29 0.09 8.1%
Iliman Ndiaye 0.61 0.23 0.08 8.02%
Orel Mangala 0.34 0.1 0.06 6.26%
Idrissa Gana Gueye 0.57 0.16 0.06 5.7%
Jack Harrison 0.56 0.16 0.05 4.56%
Rest of Team 1.07 0.31 0.31 --
Team Total 5.12 1.95 0.68 --

PLAYERS

Manchester City

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Erling Håland 4.84 3.13 1.4 75.12%
Philip Foden 2.3 1.19 0.46 36.68%
Mateo Kovacic 0.89 0.44 0.26 23.24%
Ilkay Gündogan 1.26 0.68 0.24 21.62%
Joško Gvardiol 1.3 0.71 0.23 20.4%
John Stones 0.29 0.29 0.2 18.2%
Rest of Team 2.67 1.36 1.36 --
Team Total 13.57 7.82 3.26 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Everton
  • Manchester City
  • Everton
  • Manchester City
Everton Trends Manchester City Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 3-6-7 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 8-6-3
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 1-4-3 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 5-2-1
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 1 of 16 games 6.3% Win by 2 or More 2 of 17 games 11.8%
Lose by 2 or More 3 of 16 games 18.8% Lose by 2 or More 2 of 17 games 11.8%
When Underdog W-L-D: 1-5-6 When Underdog W-L-D: 0-1-0
Road Underdog W-L-D: 1-3-3 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-0-0
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 13-16-9 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 28-3-7
Road Last Season W-L-D: 5-9-5 Home Last Season W-L-D: 14-0-5
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 7 of 38 games 18.4% Win by 2 or More (LS) 21 of 38 games 55.3%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 9 of 38 games 23.7% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 0 of 38 games 0.0%
Over-Under O-U: 11-9 Over-Under O-U: 13-8
Road Over-Under O-U: 5-4 Home Over-Under O-U: 7-5
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 16 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 17 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 7 of 16 games 43.8% Total: 3 or More Goals 13 of 17 games 76.5%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 9 of 16 games 56.3% Total: 2 or Less Goals 4 of 17 games 23.5%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0%
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