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Game Details

EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.75

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
CHEL  55%
Side Value
LEIC  5.2%
55%
21.7%
23.3%
Game Projection
  • Chelsea
    2.01
  • Leicester City
    1.19
Big Win
  • Chelsea
    N/A
  • Leicester City
    N/A
Close Win
  • Chelsea
    N/A
  • Leicester City
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Chelsea @ Leicester City 11/23/2024
There is a 23.3% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Chelsea, at 55.0%, are heavy favorites to beat Leicester City who have just a 21.7% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Chelsea 2.0 to Leicester City 1.2. In simulation wins, Leicester City upsets Chelsea by averaging 10.3 shots and 4.6 shots on goal. They average 2.3 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.7 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Chelsea is Cole Palmer with a 52% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Chelsea has a 71% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Leicester City is Issahaku Abdul Fatawu with a 22% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Leicester City has a 40% chance to win.

Chelsea

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Cole Palmer 2.4 1.4 0.73 51.78%
Nicolas Jackson 1.94 1.26 0.43 34.9%
Chukwunonso Madueke 1.93 0.99 0.34 28.62%
Pedro Lomba Neto 2.64 1.28 0.33 28.46%
Levi Samuels Colwill 0.36 0.13 0.05 5.04%
Malo Gusto 0.5 0.2 0.05 5.04%
Rest of Team 0.99 0.3 0.3 --
Team Total 10.77 5.57 2.01 --

PLAYERS

Leicester City

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Issahaku Abdul Fatawu 2.41 0.65 0.26 22.32%
Jordan Ayew 1.82 0.95 0.24 21.52%
Facundo Valentín Buonanotte 0.9 0.59 0.2 18.54%
James Justin 0.72 0.24 0.15 13.9%
Onyinye Wilfred Ndidi 1.07 0.53 0.14 12.86%
Wout Faes 0.71 0.16 0.1 9.9%
Rest of Team 1.5 0.36 0.36 --
Team Total 9.13 3.49 1.19 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Chelsea
  • Leicester City
  • Chelsea
  • Leicester City
Chelsea Trends Leicester City Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 5-2-4 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 2-5-4
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 3-1-1 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 1-2-2
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 2 of 11 games 18.2% Win by 2 or More 0 of 11 games 0.0%
Lose by 2 or More 1 of 11 games 9.1% Lose by 2 or More 3 of 11 games 27.3%
When Favored W-L-D: 5-0-3 When Favored W-L-D: 0-0-1
Road Favorite W-L-D: 3-0-1 Home Favorite W-L-D: 0-0-1
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 18-11-9 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Road Last Season W-L-D: 7-7-5 Home Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 9 of 38 games 23.7% Win by 2 or More (LS) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 7 of 38 games 18.4% Lose by 2 or More (LS) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Over-Under O-U: 7-9 Over-Under O-U: 8-5
Road Over-Under O-U: 5-5 Home Over-Under O-U: 4-2
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 11 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 11 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 5 of 11 games 45.5% Total: 3 or More Goals 7 of 11 games 63.6%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 6 of 11 games 54.5% Total: 2 or Less Goals 4 of 11 games 36.4%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals No Games
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