NHL
Vegas Golden Knights
0
Toronto Maple Leafs
0

Accuscore Probability

-10
10
-0.5
0.5
Totals

Over/Under

6

Accuscore Probability

0
19
5.5
under
6.5
over
Money Line
TOR  50.9%
Side Value
TOR  0.7%
49.1%
50.9%
Game Projection
  • Vegas Golden Knights
    3
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
    3.1
Projected High-Scorer
Vegas Golden Knights
Jack Eichel - 1.2 PTS
Big Win
  • VGK
    14.0%
  • TOR
    14.1%
Close Win
  • VGK
    23.9%
  • TOR
    23.9%

Game Prediction

NHL: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
The Toronto Maple Leafs are slight 50.9 percent favorites over the Vegas Golden Knights. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Golden Knights. The Golden Knights goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.1% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Adin Hill 28, Anthony Stolarz 26 SHOTS: Jack Eichel 3.7, William Nylander 4.1 GOALS: Pavel Dorofeyev 0.46, William Nylander 0.53 PTS: Jack Eichel has a 65% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 63% chance of 1+PTs
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Vegas Golden Knights

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Jack Eichel 0.32 0.88 1.2 3.7 65 AVG
William Karlsson 0.39 0.38 0.77 2.7 41 +4%
Tomas Hertl 0.35 0.39 0.74 2.2 41 +4%
Shea Theodore 0.06 0.6 0.66 2.3 46 -5%
Pavel Dorofeyev 0.46 0.15 0.61 2.9 27 +6%
OTHER VGK 1.41 2.37 3.79 15.2 0 --
Adin Hill 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 3.1 4.9 7.8 29

SKATER

Toronto Maple Leafs

SKATER G A PTS SOG +1 PRF
Mitch Marner 0.28 0.85 1.13 2.7 63 -5%
William Nylander 0.53 0.48 1 4.1 52 -7%
John Tavares 0.41 0.41 0.82 3.8 45 +12%
Morgan Rielly 0.14 0.52 0.65 2.3 44 -14%
Matthew Knies 0.31 0.22 0.53 1.8 30 +14%
Bobby McMann 0.29 0.09 0.37 2.8 20 -8%
OTHER TOR 1.1 1.78 2.87 13.5 0 --
Anthony Stolarz 0 0 0 0 0 --
TOTAL 3 4.4 7.4 31

SKATER

Trends

  • Vegas Golden Knights
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Vegas Golden Knights
  • Toronto Maple Leafs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs
Vegas Golden Knights RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 3-5, 38% -273 Record at Home 8-3, 73% 192 Vegas Golden Knights
VS Toronto Maple Leafs 0-0 No Games VS Vegas Golden Knights 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 4-6, 40% -283 vs Team .500 or Better 6-2, 75% 335 Vegas Golden Knights
Record As Road Underdog 1-3, 25% -202 Record As Home Favorite 7-3, 70% 80 Vegas Golden Knights
After 1 or More Days Off 10-7, 59% -1339 After 1 or More Days Off 8-6, 57% -934 Vegas Golden Knights
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 0-0 No Games Record at Home 22-22, 50% -285 N/A
VS Toronto Maple Leafs 0-0 No Games VS Vegas Golden Knights 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team Under .500 0-0 No Games vs Team .500 or Better 20-33, 38% -861 N/A
Record As Road Underdog 0-0 No Games Record As Home Favorite 13-14, 48% -489 N/A
After 1 or More Days Off 0-0 After 1 or More Days Off 41-46, 47% -3642 N/A
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Vegas Golden Knights RECORD Toronto Maple Leafs RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 5-3, 62% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 4-4, 50% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 2-3, 40% Over HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-2, 67% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 16-19, 46% Over HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 13-15, 46% Over UNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home 9-1, 90% OVER Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road 6-5, 55% OVER OVER
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