Kansas State is a heavy favorite winning 87.0% of simulations over Cincinnati. is averaging 3.0 passing yards and 0.0 TDs per simulation and Keagan Johnson is projected for 185.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13.0% of simulations where Cincinnati wins, Evan Prater averages 0.95 TD passes vs 0.98 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.39 TDs to 1.31 interceptions. Corey Kiner averages 94.0 rushing yards and 0.57 rushing TDs when Cincinnati wins and 88.0 yards and 0.22 TDs in losses. Kansas State has a 64.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90.0% of the time.