Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 84.0% of simulations over Ohio. Tucker Gleason is averaging 222.0 passing yards and 2.0 TDs per simulation and Peny Boone is projected for 173.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16.0% of simulations where Ohio wins, Kurtis Rourke averages 1.48 TD passes vs 0.7 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.79 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. O'Shaan Allison averages 86.0 rushing yards and 0.87 rushing TDs when Ohio wins and 79.0 yards and 0.48 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 35.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90.0% of the time.