MLB: New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 56-31 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 53-33 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Gerrit Cole. Jack Flaherty has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Gerrit Cole has a 24% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Dodgers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In Gerrit Cole quality starts the Yankees win 64%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Jack Flaherty who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Gerrit Cole who averaged 3.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 51% chance of winning.
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