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Game Details

MLB
New York Yankees
0
Los Angeles Dodgers
0

Accuscore Probability

-15
13
-0.5
0.5
Totals

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

1
28
-0.5
under
0.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 36-41, 47% -910 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 36-40, 47% -800
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
Money Line
LAD  58.0%
Side Value
LAD  2.4%
42.0%
58.0%
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 41-45, 48% -1436 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 51-36, 59% -720
MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 2-3, 40% -133 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 6-2, 75% +232
Game Projection
  • New York Yankees
    5.0 Points
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
    5.7 Points
Big Win
  • NYY
    17.5%
  • LAD
    26.0%
Close Win
  • NYY
    18.6%
  • LAD
    25.3%

Game Prediction

MLB: New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 56-31 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 53-33 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Gerrit Cole. Jack Flaherty has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Gerrit Cole has a 24% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Dodgers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In Gerrit Cole quality starts the Yankees win 64%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Jack Flaherty who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Gerrit Cole who averaged 3.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 51% chance of winning.
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New York Yankees

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Gleyber Torres 4.4 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.5 0.13
Juan Soto 3.9 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.3 0.23
Aaron Judge 3.8 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.8 0.37
Austin Wells 4.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 1.6 0.12
Giancarlo Stanton 4.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 2.1 0.26
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 4.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 1.7 0.15
Anthony Volpe 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.5 0.06
Anthony Rizzo 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.2 0.11
Gerrit Cole 3.9 0.8 2.8 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Gerrit Cole 4.9 3.4 6.7 3.3 2.1 7.1 0.87 0.35 0.45
Relievers 3.0 2.1 4.0 2.0 1.5 4.3 0.53 0.07 0.13

Batting

Pitching

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Shohei Ohtani (b) 4.2 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 1.7 0.32
Mookie Betts 4.2 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.18
Freddie Freeman 4.0 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.15
Max Muncy 3.7 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.7 0.20
Teoscar Hernandez 4.0 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.9 0.23
Gavin Lux 3.9 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.3 1.4 0.07
Will D. Smith 3.7 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.2 0.14
Tommy Edman 3.8 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.10
Jack Flaherty 3.8 0.8 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Jack Flaherty 5.3 3.0 6.3 2.9 2.1 8.4 0.88 0.45 0.33
Relievers 3.2 1.8 3.5 1.7 1.6 4.6 0.54 0.13 0.09

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • New York Yankees
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
  • New York Yankees
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
New York Yankees RECORD Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 53-33, 62% 1018 Record at Home 56-31, 64% 136 New York Yankees
VS Los Angeles Dodgers 1-2, 33% -94 VS New York Yankees 2-1, 67% 81 Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better 64-41, 61% 925 vs Team .500 or Better 66-50, 57% -399 New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog 16-6, 73% 1169 Record As Home Favorite 55-31, 64% 22 New York Yankees
When Gerrit Cole Starts 15-7, 68% 277 When Jack Flaherty Starts 18-14, 56% 10 New York Yankees
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees RECORD Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 3-2, 60% 35 Record at Home 6-2, 75% 232 Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers 0-0 No Games VS New York Yankees 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 5-4, 56% -80 vs Team .500 or Better 9-4, 69% 319 Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog 0-0 No Games Record As Home Favorite 6-2, 75% 232 Los Angeles Dodgers
When Gerrit Cole Starts 4-0, 100% 238 When Jack Flaherty Starts 2-2, 50% -64 New York Yankees
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
New York Yankees RECORD Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 44-39, 53% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 50-32, 61% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 2-3, 40% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 6-2, 75% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 33-44, 43% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 40-40, 50% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Gerrit Cole STARTS 11-11, 50% Over OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS 19-12, 61% Over N/A
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