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Game Details

MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers
0
New York Mets
0

Accuscore Probability

-14
15
-0.5
0.5
Totals

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

1
29
-0.5
under
0.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 45-27, 62% + 1530 New York Mets Home Games: 45-35, 56% + 650
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 New York Mets Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
Money Line
LAD  55.7%
Side Value
NYM  9.9%
55.7%
44.3%
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 54-30, 64% +818 New York Mets Home Games: 51-33, 61% +605
MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-2, 78% +238 New York Mets Home Games: 3-6, 33% -409
Game Projection
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
    5.1 Points
  • New York Mets
    4.2 Points
Big Win
  • LAD
    24.4%
  • NYM
    16.3%
Close Win
  • LAD
    23.1%
  • NYM
    22.1%

Game Prediction

MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 47-37 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 48-36 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jose Quintana has a 27% chance of a QS and Yoshinobu Yamamoto a 26% chance. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Mets has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 51%. If Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a quality start the Dodgers has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jose Quintana who averaged 2.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Yoshinobu Yamamoto who averaged 3.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 73% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 67% chance of winning.
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Los Angeles Dodgers

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Shohei Ohtani (b) 4.3 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 1.7 0.28
Mookie Betts 4.3 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.17
Freddie Freeman 4.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.1 0.14
Max Muncy 3.8 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.7 0.18
Teoscar Hernandez 4.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.8 0.21
Gavin Lux 4.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 1.4 0.07
Will D. Smith 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.2 0.14
Tommy Edman 3.8 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.1 0.09
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.9 0.8 2.8 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 5.0 2.6 6.4 2.6 1.4 7.5 0.60 0.49 0.35
Relievers 3.1 1.6 3.5 1.5 1.1 4.3 0.41 0.07 0.10

Batting

Pitching

New York Mets

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Francisco Lindor 4.3 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 1.3 0.19
Mark Vientos 4.2 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 2.1 0.25
Brandon Nimmo 3.9 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.5 0.13
Pete Alonso 3.9 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.6 0.17
Starling Marte 4.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.4 0.07
Jesse Winker 3.6 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.5 1.3 0.10
Jose Iglesias 3.8 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.03
Tyrone Taylor 3.7 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.5 0.06
Jose Quintana 3.6 0.6 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Jose Quintana 5.1 3.1 6.6 3.1 2.1 5.8 0.78 0.36 0.47
Relievers 3.3 1.9 3.6 1.7 1.7 5.2 0.51 0.08 0.09

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Los Angeles Dodgers
  • New York Mets
  • Los Angeles Dodgers
  • New York Mets
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD New York Mets RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 47-37, 56% -450 Record at Home 48-36, 57% 206 New York Mets
VS New York Mets 6-3, 67% 100 VS Los Angeles Dodgers 3-6, 33% -158 Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better 64-49, 57% -439 vs Team .500 or Better 55-54, 50% 449 New York Mets
Record as Road Favorite 40-26, 61% -125 Record as Home Underdog 14-15, 48% -54 New York Mets
When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts 15-6, 71% 258 When Jose Quintana Starts 20-15, 57% 482 New York Mets
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD New York Mets RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 7-2, 78% 269 Record at Home 7-2, 78% 399 New York Mets
VS New York Mets 2-1, 67% 55 VS Los Angeles Dodgers 1-2, 33% -80 Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better 9-5, 64% 177 vs Team .500 or Better 2-4, 33% -144 Los Angeles Dodgers
Record as Road Favorite 5-1, 83% 152 Record as Home Underdog 3-1, 75% 221 New York Mets
When Yoshinobu Yamamoto Starts 4-0, 100% 211 When Jose Quintana Starts 3-1, 75% 165 Los Angeles Dodgers
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Los Angeles Dodgers RECORD New York Mets RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 45-37, 55% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 44-40, 52% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 7-1, 88% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 7-2, 78% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 48-26, 65% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 31-46, 40% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Yoshinobu Yamamoto STARTS 12-9, 57% Over OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS 14-20, 41% Over N/A
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