Accuscore: The Global Leader in Sports Forecasting - Profitable betting since 2004.

MLB
San Francisco Giants
0
Washington Nationals
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
Created with Highcharts 4.2.60%0%
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
Money Line
SF  54.3%
Side Value
WAS  0.1%
54.3%
45.7%
Game Projection
  • San Francisco Giants
    4.2 Points
  • Washington Nationals
    3.8 Points
Big Win
  • SF
    22.7%
  • WAS
    13.6%
Close Win
  • SF
    24.4%
  • WAS
    25.0%

Game Prediction

MLB: San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
The Washington Nationals are 25-28 at home this season and the San Francisco Giants are 23-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. DJ Herz has a 31% chance of a QS and Kyle Harrison a 33% chance. If DJ Herz has a quality start the Nationals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 49%. If Kyle Harrison has a quality start the Giants has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is DJ Herz who averaged 2.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 60% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Kyle Harrison who averaged 3.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 62% chance of winning.
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San Francisco Giants

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Brett Wisely 4.6 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.9 0.08
Heliot Ramos 4.3 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 2.0 0.23
Patrick Bailey 4.1 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.7 0.12
Matt Chapman 4.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.8 0.16
Michael Conforto 4.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 1.7 0.13
Jorge Soler 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.8 0.14
Mike Yastrzemski 3.8 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.8 0.11
Thairo Estrada 3.9 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.2 0.10
Kyle Harrison 3.9 0.6 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Kyle Harrison 5.3 2.4 6.4 2.4 1.5 5.8 0.48 0.49 0.35
Relievers 2.8 1.4 3.3 1.3 0.9 3.7 0.29 0.06 0.11

Batting

Pitching

Washington Nationals

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
CJ Abrams 4.2 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.3 0.14
Lane Thomas 4.1 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.10
Jesse Winker 3.7 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.6 1.3 0.11
Eddie Rosario 4.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.5 0.10
Luis Garcia 4.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.10
Keibert Ruiz 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.07
Joey Meneses 3.7 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.05
Nick Senzel 3.4 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.1 0.09
DJ Herz 3.6 0.5 2.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
DJ Herz 5.2 3.0 6.9 2.9 1.5 9.3 0.74 0.35 0.44
Relievers 3.3 1.3 3.4 1.3 1.1 4.7 0.34 0.11 0.10

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • San Francisco Giants
  • Washington Nationals
Created with Highcharts 4.2.6ATS RECORD-1000-750-500-2500250500750
  • San Francisco Giants
  • Washington Nationals
Created with Highcharts 4.2.6PERCENT-75-50-250255075
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants RECORD Washington Nationals RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 23-34, 40% -972 Record at Home 25-28, 47% 130 Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals 1-2, 33% -149 VS San Francisco Giants 2-1, 67% 226 Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .500 26-17, 60% 159 vs Team .500 or Better 31-50, 38% -524 San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite 7-9, 44% -387 Record as Home Underdog 18-21, 46% 288 Washington Nationals
When Kyle Harrison Starts 15-7, 68% 562 When DJ Herz Starts 2-4, 33% -218 San Francisco Giants
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
San Francisco Giants RECORD Washington Nationals RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 4-6, 40% -178 Record at Home 5-4, 56% 92 Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals 0-0 No Games VS San Francisco Giants 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team Under .500 7-7, 50% -179 vs Team .500 or Better 3-9, 25% -626 San Francisco Giants
Record as Road Favorite 2-2, 50% -50 Record as Home Underdog 3-3, 50% 18 Washington Nationals
When Kyle Harrison Starts 2-2, 50% -41 When DJ Herz Starts 1-1, 50% 0 Washington Nationals
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
San Francisco Giants RECORD Washington Nationals RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 32-24, 57% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 25-26, 49% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-5, 44% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-5, 44% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 38-41, 48% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 41-37, 53% Over UNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Harrison STARTS 13-7, 65% Over OVER-UNDER IN DJ Herz STARTS 3-3, 50% Over N/A
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