MLB: San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
The Washington Nationals are 25-28 at home this season and the San Francisco Giants are 23-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. DJ Herz has a 31% chance of a QS and Kyle Harrison a 33% chance. If DJ Herz has a quality start the Nationals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.1 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 49%. If Kyle Harrison has a quality start the Giants has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is DJ Herz who averaged 2.87 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 60% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Kyle Harrison who averaged 3.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 62% chance of winning.
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