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Game Details

MLB
New York Mets
0
Colorado Rockies
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 20-24, 45% -640 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 25-26, 49% -360
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80
Money Line
NYM  56.5%
Side Value
NYM  13.9%
56.5%
43.5%
Game Projection
  • New York Mets
    5.7 Points
  • Colorado Rockies
    4.6 Points
Big Win
  • NYM
    28.2%
  • COL
    16.0%
Close Win
  • NYM
    19.6%
  • COL
    21.5%

Game Prediction

MLB: New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
The New York Mets are 28-24 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 24-29 at home. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Austin Gomber has a 20% chance of a QS and David Peterson a 20% chance. If Austin Gomber has a quality start the Rockies has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 53%. If David Peterson has a quality start the Mets has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 62%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Austin Gomber who averaged 2.79 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is David Peterson who averaged 3.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 66% chance of winning.
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New York Mets

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Francisco Lindor 4.6 0.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 1.0 0.21
Pete Alonso 4.4 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1 0.26
Brandon Nimmo 4.2 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.5 1.3 0.17
J.D. Martinez 4.2 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 1.5 0.16
Starling Marte 4.3 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.11
Mark Vientos 4.1 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.3 1.3 0.28
Harrison Bader 4.1 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.12
Jose Iglesias 4.0 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.07
David Peterson 4.0 0.7 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
David Peterson 4.8 2.9 6.2 2.8 1.9 7.3 0.71 0.47 0.34
Relievers 3.4 1.7 3.5 1.7 1.4 7.2 0.51 0.09 0.09

Batting

Pitching

Colorado Rockies

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Ezequiel Tovar 4.5 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 2.0 0.19
Brenton Doyle 4.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.5 1.7 0.19
Ryan McMahon 3.9 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.6 1.8 0.15
Jacob Stallings 3.9 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.5 1.4 0.10
Michael Toglia 3.9 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 2.0 0.28
Nolan Jones 3.6 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.6 2.1 0.07
Elehuris Montero 3.7 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 1.4 0.07
Hunter Goodman 3.8 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.8 0.18
Austin Gomber 3.7 0.8 2.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Austin Gomber 4.7 3.2 7.3 3.1 1.2 4.9 0.79 0.33 0.45
Relievers 3.6 2.4 5.1 2.4 1.5 4.3 0.59 0.10 0.12

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • New York Mets
  • Colorado Rockies
  • New York Mets
  • Colorado Rockies
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
New York Mets RECORD Colorado Rockies RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 28-24, 54% 739 Record at Home 24-29, 45% 529 New York Mets
VS Colorado Rockies 2-1, 67% -18 VS New York Mets 1-2, 33% -35 New York Mets
vs Team Under .500 25-17, 60% 254 vs Team .500 or Better 31-51, 38% -199 New York Mets
Record as Road Favorite 9-9, 50% -259 Record as Home Underdog 24-28, 46% 629 Colorado Rockies
When David Peterson Starts 8-2, 80% 482 When Austin Gomber Starts 11-12, 48% 411 New York Mets
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
New York Mets RECORD Colorado Rockies RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 5-4, 56% 66 Record at Home 4-2, 67% 380 Colorado Rockies
VS Colorado Rockies 2-1, 67% -18 VS New York Mets 1-2, 33% -35 New York Mets
vs Team Under .500 9-5, 64% 70 vs Team .500 or Better 7-12, 37% -224 New York Mets
Record as Road Favorite 3-4, 43% -214 Record as Home Underdog 4-2, 67% 380 Colorado Rockies
When David Peterson Starts 2-1, 67% 32 When Austin Gomber Starts 3-2, 60% 257 Colorado Rockies
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
New York Mets RECORD Colorado Rockies RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 31-19, 62% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 26-25, 51% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-5, 38% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 2-3, 40% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 36-38, 49% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 44-36, 55% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS 8-2, 80% Over OVER-UNDER IN Austin Gomber STARTS 8-13, 38% Over N/A
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