MLB
Detroit Tigers
0
Seattle Mariners
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
Money Line
SEA  62.0%
Side Value
SEA  2.2%
38.0%
62.0%
Game Projection
  • Detroit Tigers
    2.7 Points
  • Seattle Mariners
    3.4 Points
Big Win
  • DET
    9.5%
  • SEA
    18.4%
Close Win
  • DET
    23.8%
  • SEA
    34.9%

Game Prediction

MLB: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners are 33-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 27-29 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Bryan Woo is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Beau Brieske. Bryan Woo has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Beau Brieske has a 51% chance of a QS. If Bryan Woo has a quality start the Mariners has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 65%. In Beau Brieske quality starts the Tigers win 56%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Julio Rodriguez who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 1.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 24% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 56% chance of winning.
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Detroit Tigers

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Matt Vierling 4.2 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.2 1.2 0.12
Riley Greene 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.4 0.13
Wenceel Perez 4.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.09
Mark Canha 3.8 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.08
Colt Keith 3.8 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.09
Gio Urshela 3.7 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.05
Justyn-Henry Malloy 3.4 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 1.7 0.16
Jake Rogers 3.4 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.3 0.09
Zach McKinstry 3.3 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.06

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Beau Brieske 5.9 2.5 5.2 2.4 2.6 9.6 0.74 0.32 0.56
Relievers 2.2 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.7 0.30 0.06 0.06

Batting

Pitching

Seattle Mariners

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
J.P. Crawford 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.2 0.09
Dylan Moore 3.8 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.5 1.8 0.11
Julio Rodriguez 3.9 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.3 1.6 0.14
Mitch Garver 3.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.7 0.15
Cal Raleigh 3.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.7 0.21
Ty France 3.6 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.10
Mitch Haniger 3.4 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.4 0.12
Victor Robles 3.3 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.3 1.2 0.06
Ryan Bliss 3.2 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.6 0.05

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Bryan Woo 6.4 1.8 5.1 1.8 1.1 6.9 0.62 0.51 0.30
Relievers 2.1 0.8 2.0 0.8 0.9 3.5 0.23 0.11 0.08

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Detroit Tigers
  • Seattle Mariners
  • Detroit Tigers
  • Seattle Mariners
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers RECORD Seattle Mariners RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 27-29, 48% -194 Record at Home 33-24, 58% 78 Seattle Mariners
VS Seattle Mariners 0-0 No Games VS Detroit Tigers 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 33-44, 43% -1116 vs Team Under .500 29-21, 58% -203 Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog 16-20, 44% -149 Record As Home Favorite 27-19, 59% -95 Seattle Mariners
When Beau Brieske Starts 1-0, 100% 125 When Bryan Woo Starts 9-3, 75% 372 Seattle Mariners
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers RECORD Seattle Mariners RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 4-3, 57% 124 Record at Home 3-6, 33% -346 Detroit Tigers
VS Seattle Mariners 0-0 No Games VS Detroit Tigers 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team Under .500 4-2, 67% 241 vs Team Under .500 6-3, 67% 165 Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog 3-3, 50% 41 Record As Home Favorite 3-5, 38% -246 Detroit Tigers
When Beau Brieske Starts 1-0, 100% 125 When Bryan Woo Starts 2-1, 67% 54 Detroit Tigers
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Detroit Tigers RECORD Seattle Mariners RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 31-23, 57% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 19-36, 35% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 6-1, 86% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-6, 33% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 34-44, 44% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 41-37, 53% Over UNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Beau Brieske STARTS 0-1, 0% Over OVER-UNDER IN Bryan Woo STARTS 8-3, 73% Over N/A
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