MLB: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners are 33-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 27-29 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners starter Bryan Woo is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Beau Brieske. Bryan Woo has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Beau Brieske has a 51% chance of a QS. If Bryan Woo has a quality start the Mariners has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 65%. In Beau Brieske quality starts the Tigers win 56%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Julio Rodriguez who averaged 1.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 1.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 24% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 56% chance of winning.
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