MLB
Los Angeles Angels
0
New York Yankees
0

Accuscore Probability

-15
15
-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
Money Line
NYY  66.3%
Side Value
NYY  15.8%
33.7%
66.3%
Game Projection
  • Los Angeles Angels
    3.3 Points
  • New York Yankees
    4.6 Points
Big Win
  • LAA
    8.8%
  • NYY
    24.9%
Close Win
  • LAA
    20.0%
  • NYY
    31.5%

Game Prediction

MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees
The New York Yankees are 29-24 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 22-29 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Nestor Cortes is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Tyler Anderson. Nestor Cortes has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Anderson has a 46% chance of a QS. If Nestor Cortes has a quality start the Yankees has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 69%. In Tyler Anderson quality starts the Angels win 54%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Luis Rengifo who averaged 1.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 48% chance of winning.
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Los Angeles Angels

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Nolan Schanuel 4.1 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.4 1.1 0.11
Luis Rengifo 4.2 0.5 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.11
Taylor Ward 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.5 0.16
Willie Calhoun 3.9 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.07
Logan O'Hoppe 3.9 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 1.5 0.16
Zach Neto 3.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.3 0.15
Mickey Moniak 3.7 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.5 0.07
Jo Adell 3.5 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.7 0.16
Luis Guillorme 3.3 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Tyler Anderson 6.0 3.4 6.3 3.3 2.9 6.2 1.07 0.29 0.59
Relievers 1.9 1.2 2.2 1.2 1.1 2.5 0.36 0.04 0.07

Batting

Pitching

New York Yankees

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Anthony Volpe 4.2 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.3 1.1 0.06
Juan Soto 3.5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.24
Aaron Judge 3.5 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.38
Giancarlo Stanton 3.9 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 1.5 0.27
Alex Verdugo 3.8 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.7 0.09
Gleyber Torres 3.6 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.11
DJ LeMahieu 3.4 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.04
Jose Trevino 3.5 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.15
Oswaldo Cabrera 3.4 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.08

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Nestor Cortes 6.5 2.3 5.9 2.2 1.5 8.1 0.73 0.58 0.29
Relievers 2.0 0.9 2.0 0.9 0.7 3.1 0.26 0.09 0.04

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Los Angeles Angels
  • New York Yankees
  • Los Angeles Angels
  • New York Yankees
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels RECORD New York Yankees RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 22-29, 43% -75 Record at Home 29-24, 55% -646 Los Angeles Angels
VS New York Yankees 1-2, 33% -46 VS Los Angeles Angels 2-1, 67% 9 New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better 32-45, 42% -482 vs Team Under .500 19-13, 59% -193 New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog 22-26, 46% 225 Record As Home Favorite 28-21, 57% -452 Los Angeles Angels
When Tyler Anderson Starts 11-11, 50% 285 When Nestor Cortes Starts 8-15, 35% -875 Los Angeles Angels
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels RECORD New York Yankees RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 4-2, 67% 355 Record at Home 4-5, 44% -302 Los Angeles Angels
VS New York Yankees 0-0 No Games VS Los Angeles Angels 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 4-6, 40% -182 vs Team .500 or Better 3-6, 33% -388 Los Angeles Angels
Record As Road Underdog 4-1, 80% 455 Record As Home Favorite 4-5, 44% -302 Los Angeles Angels
When Tyler Anderson Starts 3-2, 60% 172 When Nestor Cortes Starts 1-3, 25% -184 Los Angeles Angels
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Los Angeles Angels RECORD New York Yankees RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 25-25, 50% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 27-24, 53% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-3, 50% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 6-3, 67% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 45-34, 57% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 37-43, 46% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Anderson STARTS 7-14, 33% Over OVER-UNDER IN Nestor Cortes STARTS 12-10, 55% Over N/A
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