The Houston Astros are 1-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 2-3 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios. Framber Valdez has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Berrios has a 38% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 67%. In Jose Berrios quality starts the Blue Jays win 62%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Davis Schneider who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 54% chance of winning.