NCAAF
Arkansas Razorbacks
++18
LSU Tigers
-18

Accuscore Probability

-18.5
-17.5

Over/Under

54.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
54
under
55
over
Money Line
LSU  79.8%
Side Value
ARK  6.31%
20.1%
79.8%
Game Projection
  • Arkansas Razorbacks
    23.1 Points
  • LSU Tigers
    37.4 Points
Big Win
  • ARK
    7.9%
  • LSU
    60.6%
Close Win
  • ARK
    6.9%
  • LSU
    8.5%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers
LSU is a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over Arkansas. Jayden Daniels is averaging 268 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Noah Cain is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Arkansas wins, KJ Jefferson averages 2.05 TD passes vs 0.27 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.01 TDs to 0.45 interceptions. Jezreel Bachert averages 74 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Arkansas wins and 66 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. LSU has a 30% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LSU -18 --- Over/Under line is 55.5
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Arkansas Razorbacks

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
KJ Jefferson 14.5 173.8 1.2 0.4

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Jezreel Bachert 14.0 67.7 4.8 0.5
KJ Jefferson 8.8 31.7 3.6 0.1
Andrew Armstrong 5.9 24.4 4.1 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jezreel Bachert 3.8 55.6 14.6 0.4
Var'Keyes Gumms 2.2 25.8 11.7 0.2
Isaiah Sategna 2.2 24.8 11.3 0.2
Andrew Armstrong 2.2 23.8 10.8 0.2

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
ARK 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

LSU Tigers

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Jayden Daniels 20.4 267.9 1.8 0.2

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Noah Cain 13.8 68.4 5.0 1.2
Jayden Daniels 7.6 34.2 4.5 0.5
Josh Williams 1.3 6.6 5.2 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Brian Thomas Jr. 7.1 102.0 14.4 0.6
Kyren Lacy 4.2 55.1 13.1 0.4
Mason Taylor 4.1 51.3 12.5 0.3
Noah Cain 2.3 26.3 11.4 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
LSU 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.4

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Arkansas ATS RECORD LSU ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0 All Games 1/1/2000 LSU
Road & Neutral Field 0-0-0 Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0 When Favored 1/1/2000 No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0 Conference Opp 1-0-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-1-0 Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0 LSU
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Arkansas ATS RECORD LSU ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 5/6/2001 All Games 7/5/2001 LSU
Road & Neutral Field 2/3/2000 Home Games 5/2/2001 LSU
When Underdog 1/2/2001 When Favored 3/3/2001 LSU
Conference Opp 2/4/2001 Conference Opp 3/4/2001 LSU
Opp .500+ Record 3/5/2001 Opp .500+ Record 5/3/2001 LSU
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Arkansas O-U-P RECORD LSU O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 2-0-0 OVER
On Road 0-0-0 At Home 0-0-0 No Edge
All Totals Last Season 8/3/2001 All Totals Last Season 6/7/2000 OVER
On Road Last Season 3/1/2001 At Home Last Season 2/5/2000 UNDER
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