NCAAF
Western Michigan Broncos
++21.5
Toledo Rockets
-21.5

Accuscore Probability

-22
-21

Over/Under

52.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
52
under
53
over
Money Line
TOL  91.2%
Side Value
 
8.8%
91.2%
Game Projection
  • Western Michigan Broncos
    18.1 Points
  • Toledo Rockets
    40.4 Points
Big Win
  • WMICH
    2.8%
  • TOL
    77.8%
Close Win
  • WMICH
    3.4%
  • TOL
    5.7%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets
Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 91% of simulations over Western Michigan. Dequan Finn is averaging 195 passing yards and 2.4 TDs per simulation and Peny Boone is projected for 90 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 9% of simulations where Western Michigan wins, Treyson Bourguet averages 0.78 TD passes vs 0.48 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.38 TDs to 0.86 interceptions. Zahir AbdusSalaam averages 102 rushing yards and 1.25 rushing TDs when Western Michigan wins and 91 yards and 0.6 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -20.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5
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Western Michigan Broncos

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Treyson Bourguet 10.7 119.6 0.4 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Zahir AbdusSalaam 19.9 92.0 4.6 0.7
Treyson Bourguet 10.5 43.3 4.1 0.3
Jalen Buckley 3.4 15.3 4.5 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jehlani Galloway 3.0 31.7 10.6 0.1
Anthony Sambucci 2.0 22.9 11.5 0.1
Blake Bosma 2.0 22.7 11.4 0.1
Nate Anderson 2.0 21.6 10.8 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
WMICH 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Toledo Rockets

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Dequan Finn 15.2 194.5 2.4 0.4

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Peny Boone 14.6 89.7 6.2 0.6
Jacquez Stuart 6.9 33.4 4.8 0.6
Dequan Finn 8.2 27.0 3.3 0.7

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Thomas Zsiros 3.6 58.1 16.1 0.8
Devin Maddox 3.1 33.5 10.8 0.4
Jerjuan Newton 3.0 30.4 10.1 0.4
Anthony Torres 1.9 22.3 11.7 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
TOL 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.8

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Western Michigan
  • Toledo
  • Western Michigan
  • Toledo
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Western Michigan ATS RECORD Toledo ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0 All Games 1/1/2000 Toledo
Road & Neutral Field 0-2-0 Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-2-0 When Favored 0-1-0 No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0 Conference Opp 0-0-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0 Opp Under .500 0-1-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Western Michigan ATS RECORD Toledo ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 4/7/2000 All Games 5/8/2000 Toledo
Road & Neutral Field 3/3/2000 Home Games 3/3/2000 No Edge
When Underdog 4/5/2000 When Favored 5/7/2000 Western Michigan
Conference Opp 4/4/2000 Conference Opp 4/5/2000 Western Michigan
Opp .500+ Record 2/2/2000 Opp Under .500 4/2/2000 Toledo
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Western Michigan O-U-P RECORD Toledo O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 No Edge
On Road 1/1/2000 At Home 0-1-0 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 3/8/2000 All Totals Last Season 5/7/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 2/4/2000 At Home Last Season 3/2/2000 UNDER
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