NCAAF: Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Tulsa winning 42% of simulations, and Northern Illinois 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Tulsa commits fewer turnovers in 23% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Northern Illinois wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Braylin Presley is averaging 110 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. Antario Brown is averaging 82 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NOILL -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5
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