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Game Details

NCAAF
New Mexico Lobos
++3.5
Massachusetts Minutemen
-3.5

Accuscore Probability

-4
-3

Over/Under

48.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
48
under
49
over
Money Line
UMAS  63.1%
Side Value
UMAS  0.55%
36.8%
63.1%
Game Projection
  • New Mexico Lobos
    19.5 Points
  • Massachusetts Minutemen
    24.5 Points
Big Win
  • NMEX
    17.6%
  • UMASS
    37.2%
Close Win
  • NMEX
    9.1%
  • UMASS
    12.2%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: New Mexico Lobos vs. Massachusetts Minutemen
Massachusetts is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat New Mexico. Taisun Phommachanh is projected for 91 rushing yards and a 65% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where New Mexico wins, Dylan Hopkins averages 1.28 TD passes vs 0.51 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Andrew Henry averages 116 rushing yards and 1.32 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 104 yards and 0.73 TDs in losses. Massachusetts has a 26% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UMASS -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 49
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New Mexico Lobos

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Dylan Hopkins 10.6 132.4 0.9 0.6

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Andrew Henry 24.2 108.3 4.5 1.0
Dylan Hopkins 4.8 21.7 4.5 0.2
Sherod White 1.6 7.4 4.6 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jeremiah Hixon 3.2 38.3 12.0 0.2
D.J. Washington 1.7 21.1 12.4 0.2
Magnus Geers 1.6 20.9 13.1 0.1
Caleb Medford 1.7 20.5 12.1 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
NMEX 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.7

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Massachusetts Minutemen

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Taisun Phommachanh 10.9 144.9 1.1 0.7

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Taisun Phommachanh 19.1 91.3 4.8 1.0
Kay'Ron Adams 14.8 75.5 5.1 0.9
Anthony Simpson 2.6 12.5 4.7 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
George Johnson III 3.3 42.1 12.8 0.3
Mark Pope 2.2 30.2 13.7 0.3
Anthony Simpson 1.9 28.4 14.9 0.2
Eni Falayi 1.6 20.0 12.5 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
UMASS 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.6

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • New Mexico
  • Massachusetts
  • New Mexico
  • Massachusetts
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
New Mexico ATS RECORD Massachusetts ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0 All Games 3/1/2000 Massachusetts
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0 When Favored 0-1-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0 Non-Conference Opp 3/1/2000 Massachusetts
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 Opp Under .500 1/1/2000 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
New Mexico ATS RECORD Massachusetts ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 2/9/2000 All Games 4/7/2000 Massachusetts
Road & Neutral Field 1/5/2000 Home Games 1/3/2000 Massachusetts
When Underdog 2/8/2000 When Favored 0-1-0 New Mexico
Non-Conference Opp 1/2/2000 Non-Conference Opp 4/6/2000 Massachusetts
Opp Under .500 1/6/2000 Opp Under .500 3/4/2000 Massachusetts
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
New Mexico O-U-P RECORD Massachusetts O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 3/1/2000 OVER
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 1-0-0 OVER
All Totals Last Season 4/6/2001 All Totals Last Season 4/7/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 1/4/2001 At Home Last Season 2/2/2000 UNDER
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