NCAAF: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Iowa. Drew Allar is averaging 233 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per simulation and Drew Allar is projected for 68 rushing yards and a 39% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Iowa wins, Cade McNamara averages 0.84 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.39 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Kaleb Johnson averages 98 rushing yards and 1.22 rushing TDs when Iowa wins and 82 yards and 0.56 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 39% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST -15 --- Over/Under line is 40.5
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