November 11, 2024 4:21 AM CST

NHL: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 11/12/2024

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are slight 52.3 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 32 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Senators. The Senators goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.9% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 90.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Linus Ullmark 30, Joseph Woll 26 SHOTS: Brady Tkachuk 4.2, Auston Matthews 4.7 GOALS: Brady Tkachuk 0.47, William Nylander 0.54 PTS: Tim Stutzle has a 54% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 58% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-5, 29% -224Record at Home7-2, 78% 180Ottawa Senators
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesOttawa Senators
vs Team .500 or Better4-3, 57% 70vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -62Ottawa Senators
Record As Road Underdog2-4, 33% -124Record As Home Favorite7-2, 78% 180Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off6-7, 46% -542After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% -946Ottawa Senators

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Ottawa Senators

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-24, 53% 1258Record at Home22-22, 50% -285N/A
VS Toronto Maple Leafs3-1, 75% 218VS Ottawa Senators1-3, 25% -186N/A
vs Team Under .50022-16, 58% 352vs Team .500 or Better20-33, 38% -861N/A
Record As Road Underdog25-22, 53% 1323Record As Home Favorite13-14, 48% -489N/A
After 1 or More Days Off55-45, 55% -1321After 1 or More Days Off41-46, 47% -3642N/A

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-5, 29% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-4, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home5-6, 45% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road4-6, 40% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 2-5, 29% -263 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-5, 44% -116 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 2-5, 29% -263 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-5, 44% -116

MONEY LINE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-4, 43% -248 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-2, 78% 216 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-4, 43% -248 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-2, 78% +216

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 7-0, 100% + 637 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 246 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 7-0, 100% + 637 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 246

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