The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 52.5 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.1% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: A. Vasilevskiy 24, Joseph Woll 26 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.9, Auston Matthews 4.2 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.58, Auston Matthews 0.64 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 68% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-12, 45% -218 | Record at Home | 18-9, 67% 220 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 2-0, 100% 170 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-13, 41% -425 | vs Team .500 or Better | 13-9, 59% 233 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-5, 44% -182 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-0, 100% 112 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 20-16, 56% -2476 | After 1 or More Days Off | 24-13, 65% -2161 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-5, 29% -313 | Record at Home | 4-5, 44% -197 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-2, 33% -138 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% -76 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-2, 33% -125 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 4-5, 44% -733 | After 1 or More Days Off | 7-4, 64% -924 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-11, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 12-8, 60% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-5, 29% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | N/A |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 16-16, 50% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 17-17, 50% OVER | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 10-12, 45% -694 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 18-9, 67% +786 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-5, 29% -388 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-2, 78% +485
MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 9-13, 41% -485 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 20-7, 74% 687 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-5, 29% -313 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-3, 67% +234
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 12-10, 55% + 92 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 16-11, 59% + 356 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 64 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 55
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