By Jonathan Lee

Not an AccuScore member? Join Now for full access to the premier sports forecasting service.

Tim Tebow has shown the ability to spark Denver late in games.  Oddly, that talent hasn’t translated to the first three quarters of games as demonstrated by his poor start and subsequent comeback against Miami. To illustrate this difference AccuScore took a look at his late game statistics in simulations compared to the rest of the game and found starkly divergent results.

If you just took Tebow's final few minutes of statistics in simulations and expanded them over a full game, the Broncos would have a 58 percent chance of winning against the Lions in Week 8.  If you only used his performance in the first 3+ quarters over the full game Denver would only have a 23 percent chance in Week 8.  Tebow’s inconsistency could potentially make a whopping 35 percent difference.  It is the difference between being a significant favorite to being a big-time underdog.