Written by Jon Lee
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NFL Week 3: Top 2 Picks
Last week, Mr. Lee pushed on both picks. As such, his record is now 1-1-2 on the season. With Week 3 of the 2012 season already here, it’s time to start banking on some trends and getting up some wins. This week, there’s a FREE pick for the Raiders vs Steelers, and member-only pick for the Dolphins vs Jets.
Oakland Raiders +4 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
This line has shrunk from -5 to -4 despite nearly 90 percent of the betting public backing the Steelers. That likely means the sharps like the Raiders as the dog at home. Much of the early season attention has been placed on the replacement referees, and much psychological research has shown that in sports “homefield advantage” is not necessarily created within the team, but because referees are more often swayed by boisterous home crowds. This seems to be showing up in early betting trends with 61.3 percent of home teams covering ATS. Typically home teams cover at an expected rate closer to 50 percent annually.
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