Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter
Dolphins vs Patriots: Monday Night Football Analyst Preview
Monday Night Football action this week takes us to Miami as the 5-7 Dolphins host the 10-2 New England Patriots in a matchup that has the road team as heavy 11-point favorites. Miami did get a 35-9 victory over Denver, and QB Jay Cutler will look to use that momentum against a New England franchise he has never beaten.
Vegas Odds
The spread has held constant since opening, but the total dropped about 1-1.5 points since opening at 48.5.
Betting Line: New England Patriots -11
Total: 47.5
At the time of publication, close to 64 percent of the public were laying the points and taking the Pats.
58-plus percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.
Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
- The Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in six of the Patriots’ last eight games as the favorite.
What to Watch For
Cutler vs New England: In his three career matchups against the Patriots, Cutler has lost by 34, 29, and 29 points, respectively.
Cutler is projected to finish with 226 points, 1 TD and 1 INT.
Tom Brady Good-to-Go: Despite reports earlier in the week, Brady (Achilles) will not carry an injury designation into MNF -- according to Doug Kyed of NESN.com. He didn't practice Saturday, but received treatment instead and looks to be good-to-go for Monday.
Brady is projected to finish with 243 yards and 2+ TDs.
Silver Lining: One of the bright spots for Miami lately has been RB Kenyan Drake. Drake had a convincing 120-yard performance in Miami's win over Denver, and will need to have another big-time performance if Miami is going to cover and keep it close.
Drake is projected to finish with 67 yards on 14 carries. He does average 0.5 TDs per sim, so expect him to find the end-zone once on Monday.
Analyst's Pick
Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick
...Not a member? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*
*New NFL Special: Sign up for an annual membership using code NFLseason and you'll only be charged $100 for 2 months of membership, which includes the entire NFL post season, NCAA Football Bowl season and every other sport on the AccuScore calendar...NBA, NHL, EPL, La Liga, NCAA Basketball, etc... Join Now!
