Written by AccuScore Staff
College Bowl Season in full speed
With College Football Bowl Season in full effect, AccuScore has been helping bettors make the the most informed picks. At the time of publication, AccuScore ML projections are 15-6 (72%) and ATS is 13-7-1. Here are a couple picks to keep up with good numbers for the upcoming week
Notre Dame vs. No. 23 LSU | Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl | Tuesday, Dec. 30
What to Watch For
Notre Dame's lack of defensive depth will hurt them in this matchup against LSU. Notre Dame may be able to keep it close for a period of time, but LSU should be able to control the clock. Notre Dame's passing game will have to have the best performance all season to beat LSU.
AccuScore Simulations
AccuScore has LSU as 56.4 percent favorites. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 29-26. There is nearly a 60 percent chance ND covers a +7.5 spread, and a 52 percent chance the total combined score goes OVER 52.5. Both are 2-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trends.
Vegas vs AccuScore
Whereas Vegas odds give LSU about a 73 percent chance of winning (-280 ML), AccuScore data - while it doesn't pick a different winner - does have more faith in the Irish. AccuScore would have listed LSU's ML odds closer to -135. With both Vegas and AccuScore siding with LSU, a ML pick on them is very appealing.
Supporting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games.
LSU is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
No. 2 Oregon vs. No. 3 Florida State | Rose Bowl Game [Semifinal] | Thursday, Jan. 1
What to Watch For
Oregon and Florida State will face off in the Rose Bowl to earn a spot in the College Football Championship Game. Despite going 13-0 SU this season, the Seminoles have managed to put together an unimpressive 3-10 ATS record. With that said, keep an eye on how long Oregon's defense can last. They haven't been required to do much late in games this season, but Florida State has made it a habit to make things interesting in the fourth quarter.
AccuScore Simulations
AccuScore has Oregon as solid 72.6 percent favorites to win the semifinal matchup. There's about a 53 percent chance Oregon covers a -9 spread, and a 58 percent chance the total combined score goes OVER 71.5. Both are 2-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trends.
Vegas vs AccuScore
Both AccuScore and Vegas agree on how dominant Oregon should be in this matchup. Compared to the 72.6 percent AccuScore gives the Ducks, initial Vegas odds (-300) give Oregon a 75 percent chance. With both probabilities above 70 percent, it's fairly close to being a lock.
Supporting Trend
Oregon is both 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five games.