September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

Duke vs Connecticut 9/23/2023

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Duke is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over Connecticut. Riley Leonard is averaging 219 passing yards and 1.25 TDs per simulation and Jordan Waters is projected for 95 rushing yards and a 83% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where Connecticut wins, Ta\'Quan Roberson averages 1.25 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.57 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Victor Rosa averages 99 rushing yards and 0.81 rushing TDs when Connecticut wins and 86 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Duke has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCONN +22 --- Over/Under line is 48

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

DukeATS RECORDConnecticutATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-0-0All Games1/2/2000Duke
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games1/1/2000No Edge
When Favored1-0-0When Underdog1/1/2000Duke
Non-Conference Opp1-0-0Non-Conference Opp1/2/2000Duke
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

DukeATS RECORDConnecticutATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8/4/2000All Games7/5/2000Duke
Road & Neutral Field3/3/2000Home Games5/1/2000Connecticut
When Favored3/4/2000When Underdog5/3/2000Connecticut
Non-Conference Opp2/2/2000Non-Conference Opp7/5/2000Connecticut
Opp Under .5001/2/2000Opp .500+ Record1/3/2000Duke

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

DukeO-U-P RECORDConnecticutO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)0-3-0UNDER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5/6/2001All Totals Last Season4/7/2000UNDER
On Road Last Season3/2/2001At Home Last Season2/3/2000No Edge

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