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Game Details

NCAAF
Duke Blue Devils
-22
Connecticut Huskies
+22

Accuscore Probability

21.5
22.5

Over/Under

44.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
44
under
45
over
Money Line
DUKE  87.2%
Side Value
UCON  2.94%
87.2%
12.8%
Game Projection
  • Duke Blue Devils
    35.6 Points
  • Connecticut Huskies
    17.4 Points
Big Win
  • DUKE
    70.3%
  • UCONN
    4.5%
Close Win
  • DUKE
    7.1%
  • UCONN
    4.6%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Duke Blue Devils vs. Connecticut Huskies
Duke is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over Connecticut. Riley Leonard is averaging 219 passing yards and 1.25 TDs per simulation and Jordan Waters is projected for 95 rushing yards and a 83% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where Connecticut wins, Ta\'Quan Roberson averages 1.25 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.57 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Victor Rosa averages 99 rushing yards and 0.81 rushing TDs when Connecticut wins and 86 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Duke has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCONN +22 --- Over/Under line is 48
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Duke Blue Devils

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Riley Leonard 18.7 218.7 1.3 0.4

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Jordan Waters 15.6 94.7 6.1 1.8
Eli Pancol 7.5 33.2 4.4 0.4
Jaquez Moore 3.3 19.6 5.9 0.3

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jordan Moore 4.6 57.2 12.4 0.3
Eli Pancol 4.6 53.4 11.6 0.2
Nicky Dalmolin 4.6 48.8 10.6 0.4
Jordan Waters 2.3 28.5 12.4 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
DUKE 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.8

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Connecticut Huskies

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Ta'Quan Roberson 13.5 137.5 0.7 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Victor Rosa 19.8 87.6 4.4 0.4
Ta'Quan Roberson 13.3 63.8 4.8 0.6
Dajon Harrison 0.7 3.0 4.4 0.0

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Kylish Hicks 2.9 30.0 10.3 0.1
Jacob Flynn 2.9 29.9 10.3 0.1
Dajon Harrison 2.9 29.2 10.1 0.1
Louis Hansen 2.9 28.6 9.9 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
UCONN 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Duke
  • Connecticut
  • Duke
  • Connecticut
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Duke ATS RECORD Connecticut ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 2-0-0 All Games 1/2/2000 Duke
Road & Neutral Field 0-0-0 Home Games 1/1/2000 No Edge
When Favored 1-0-0 When Underdog 1/1/2000 Duke
Non-Conference Opp 1-0-0 Non-Conference Opp 1/2/2000 Duke
Opp Under .500 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Duke ATS RECORD Connecticut ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 8/4/2000 All Games 7/5/2000 Duke
Road & Neutral Field 3/3/2000 Home Games 5/1/2000 Connecticut
When Favored 3/4/2000 When Underdog 5/3/2000 Connecticut
Non-Conference Opp 2/2/2000 Non-Conference Opp 7/5/2000 Connecticut
Opp Under .500 1/2/2000 Opp .500+ Record 1/3/2000 Duke
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Duke O-U-P RECORD Connecticut O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 0-3-0 UNDER
On Road 0-0-0 At Home 0-2-0 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 5/6/2001 All Totals Last Season 4/7/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 3/2/2001 At Home Last Season 2/3/2000 No Edge
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