September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

Wisconsin vs Purdue 9/22/2023

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wisconsin winning 60% of simulations, and Purdue 40% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wisconsin commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Purdue wins 54% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Braelon Allen is averaging 89 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Devin Mockobee is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 52%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR +5.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

WisconsinATS RECORDPurdueATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/2/2000All Games1/2/2000No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-2-0No Edge
When Favored1/2/2000When Underdog1/1/2000Purdue
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record1/1/2000No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

WisconsinATS RECORDPurdueATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6/6/2000All Games5/8/2000Wisconsin
Road & Neutral Field3/3/2000Home Games1/5/2000Wisconsin
When Favored3/6/2000When Underdog4/3/2000Purdue
Conference Opp4/4/2000Conference Opp3/6/2000Wisconsin
Opp .500+ Record3/3/2000Opp .500+ Record3/2/2000Purdue

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

WisconsinO-U-P RECORDPurdueO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/2/2000All Totals (O-U-P)1/2/2000UNDER
On Road0-1-0At Home1/1/2000UNDER
All Totals Last Season7/5/2000All Totals Last Season8/5/2000OVER
On Road Last Season4/2/2000At Home Last Season4/2/2000OVER

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