NCAAF: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Wisconsin winning 60% of simulations, and Purdue 40% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Wisconsin commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Purdue wins 54% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Braelon Allen is averaging 89 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Devin Mockobee is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 52%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR +5.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5
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