AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Toledo winning 42.0% of simulations, and Mississippi State 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Toledo commits fewer turnovers in 30.0% of simulations and they go on to win 53.0% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi State wins 68.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Peny Boone is averaging 152.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Jo'Quavious Marks is averaging 91.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISSST -12.5 --- Over/Under line is 59.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Toledo | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-1-0 | All Games | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-00-00 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-0-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Toledo | ATS RECORD | Mississippi State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-7-0 | All Games | 2-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 40-30-00 | Home Games | 1-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 3-0-0 | When Favored | 1-2-0 | Toledo |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toledo | O-U-P RECORD | Mississippi State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| On Road | 0-0-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-4-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-1-0 | OVER |
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